What does this Ethereum $4,000 prediction market cover?

This market is about whether Ethereum will trade at or above $4,000 on Binance ETH/USDT at any point before the end of Dec. 31, 2026 ET, using the high price from 1-minute candles.

How will the market resolve?

The market resolves to “Yes” if any Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle during the eligible period has a final High price of $4,000 or higher. If that never happens, it resolves to “No.”

When does the Ethereum $4,000 market resolve?

The listed resolution date is Jan. 1, 2027 at 05:00 UTC, after the Dec. 31, 2026 ET deadline has passed.

What are smart money traders doing in this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $4,314 in smart money activity with 1 signal. Recent alerts show a high-win-rate trader buying NO, indicating bearish positioning on ETH reaching $4,000 by the deadline.

Where can I track the Ethereum $4,000 Polymarket odds?

You can follow the market’s live Polymarket odds, smart money signals, and resolution details on PolySpotter’s page for this Ethereum $4,000 by 2026 prediction market.

Part of: What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) will reach a high price of $4,000 or more on any Binance 1-minute candle between Nov. 24, 2025 and Dec. 31, 2026 ET. It resolves on Jan. 1, 2027, based on Binance ETH/USDT high prices; PolySpotter currently tracks $4,314 in smart money activity and 1 recent signal, including bearish NO buying from a high-win-rate trader.

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,941.

Categories: Ethereum, Crypto Prices, Hit Price, Crypto, Yearly

Notable Trades

99% winner bearish ETH

A highly profitable wallet with a 104-1 resolved record is building a bearish ETH cross-market position despite this being a relatively conservative 90¢ No buy.

This bettor has won 104 of 105 resolved bets and is up $76K lifetime.
They have $12.2K across two related ETH markets, pointing to a bearish ETH thesis.
Buying No at 90¢ is a high-probability position from a wallet with a strong track record.

$4,314 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

99% winner buying NO

A highly profitable 99% win-rate wallet is making an $8.6k No bet and has a cross-market thesis on the same ETH event.

This bettor has won 104 of 105 resolved bets and is up $76k lifetime.
They bought $8.6k of No at 90¢, a large position versus this market’s recent activity.
They are also positioned across another related ETH market, suggesting a broader thesis.

$8,627 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%