Part of: Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC

Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $78,715.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL

Notable Trades

16-wallet sports steam move

A large 16-wallet one-sided sports steam move pushed Yes from roughly 15% to 80%, backed by volume spike, price impact, and several historically profitable bettors.

16 wallets bought the same side for $44.3k, creating a strong one-way move.
The market volume spiked 66x normal and Yes jumped 65 percentage points in a day.
Several proven bettors joined, including wallets with 84% and 96% historical hit rates.

$44,275 on Yes

82% serial sports bettor

Proven serial cross-market bettor with an 82% resolved win rate placed a sizable $16.5k BUY No bet that has already moved from 87¢ to 90¢.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $36.7k lifetime.
They have traded across 94 events with $715k in tracked cross-market volume.
Their $16.5k No entry at 87¢ has already moved to 90¢, showing early market confirmation.

$16,530 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

85% winner buying longshot

A proven sports bettor with an 85% win record and strong lifetime profit bought Everton Yes at 14¢, though the stake is modest relative to market liquidity.

This bettor has won 29 of 34 resolved bets and is up $20.4K lifetime.
Their average winning entry was 45¢, but this bet is at just 14¢, implying a high-upside longshot view.
The stake is modest at $1.0K, so the signal is mostly the bettor’s strong track record rather than size.

$1,014 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

Three proven bettors buy NO

Three profitable, high-volume sports bettors aligned on No, led by a wallet up $2.6M lifetime and another with a 72% resolved-bet record.

Three profitable bettors all bought No at 86¢, putting $9.6k on Everton not winning.
The largest wallet has a 67% record across 11,346 resolved bets and is up $2.6M lifetime.
Two wallets are serial cross-market traders, including one with a 72% record across 211 resolved bets.

$9,647 on No

Profitable serial bettor backing NO

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large sample is buying No for $7.2K, making this a modest but followable copy-trade signal.

This bettor wins 67% of resolved bets and is up $2.57M lifetime.
They have traded 480 markets across 301 events, showing a repeatable cross-market pattern.
The $7.2K buy at 86¢ backs the market favorite with a tight 1¢ spread.

$7,249 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 11559614, $15,688 (65% win rate)
0xc0ff...9953 — Outcome 11559614, $14,336 (64% win rate)
0xc44f...d49f — Outcome 11559614, $10,755 (75% win rate)
0x3206...6914 — Outcome 11559614, $10,000
0x2f0b...5577 — Outcome 11559614, $7,243 (92% win rate)
0x7edb...7993 — Outcome 11559614, $6,109 (51% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 84130032, $5,573
0x97f9...0aeb — Outcome 11559614, $3,478 (82% win rate)
0x90ba...63f3 — Outcome 11559614, $3,150 (79% win rate)
0x9495...9a27 — Outcome 11559614, $2,577 (64% win rate)

Related Theses

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Aston Villa beats Liverpool

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Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?

ResolvedEverton FC vs. Manchester City FC$78,715 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesSoccerPremier LeagueEPL

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 4, 2026 If Everton FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.