Part of: Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
This prediction market tracks whether Extended will officially launch an actively transferable and tradable governance token by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. It resolves “Yes” only if the token is publicly launched and tradable; announcements alone do not count. PolySpotter is tracking $1,036 in smart money exposure across 1 signal, including a recent alert that a sharp trader faded the rally.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Extended, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,036.
Categories: Crypto, Pre-Market, Extended, token launch
Notable Trades
Sharp trader fades rally
Sharp 80% winner with positive lifetime P&L is exiting a Yes position after a rally, suggesting caution on the now-88% token-launch odds, though this looks partly like profit-taking.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $39K lifetime.
- They sold Yes after the market rallied 8 points in a day, effectively taking the other side at 15¢ No.
- The trade was large for this thin market, equal to about 71% of recent 24h volume.
$1,036 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%
Top Holders
- 0xba0d...9a6e — Yes, $2,000 (51% win rate)
- 0x199b...62ea — Yes, $1,742 (75% win rate)
- 0xe05f...0658 — No, $1,656
- 0xf2ab...97a4 — Yes, $1,537 (83% win rate)
- 0xcf07...c770 — No, $956 (30% win rate)
- 0xdd5c...0c2a — No, $800
- 0x1f51...f5dc — Yes, $770
- 0xa7af...efb7 — No, $742 (52% win rate)
- 0x714f...66d5 — No, $713 (37% win rate)
- 0x9f14...7328 — No, $669 (29% win rate)
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