Part of: Fagiano Okayama vs. Shimizu S-Pulse

Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-17?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 17, 2026 If Fagiano Okayama wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,513.

Categories: Sports, Japan J League, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Coordinated soccer buying surge

Three wallets bought $10.5k of Yes into a 414x volume spike, with price up 32 points and participation from a high-volume profitable sports bettor.

  • Three wallets put $10.5k on the same side, all buying Yes at 71¢.
  • Volume spiked 414x above normal and the market price jumped 32 points in a day.
  • One participating bettor is up $788k lifetime across 47k resolved trades.

$10,463 on Yes

91% winner buying No

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and $105,907 profit bought $3,050 of No in a relatively quiet soccer market.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $105,907 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 25 events with a strong track record, suggesting this is a repeat sharp sports bettor.
  • The $3,050 buy is larger than the market’s recent 24h volume, showing clear conviction in No.

$3,050 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Sharp soccer bettor backs No

Sharp sports bettor with an 86% resolved win rate and +$23.9k P&L bought No in a relatively quiet soccer market.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $23.9k lifetime.
  • They put $1.0k on No, a meaningful size versus the market’s $2.7k 24h volume.
  • Entry at 61¢ implies they see Fagiano Okayama failing to win as underpriced.

$1,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc3c3...eec8 No, $25,000 (99% win rate)
  2. 0x9772...4867 Yes, $11,776 (61% win rate)
  3. 0x204f...5e14 Yes, $9,034 (55% win rate)
  4. 0xed88...e838 No, $5,000 (91% win rate)
  5. 0x0346...52a5 Yes, $4,551 (52% win rate)
  6. 0x2005...75ea Yes, $2,030 (55% win rate)
  7. 0x48e0...826d No, $1,640 (86% win rate)
  8. 0x507e...beae Yes, $1,500 (50% win rate)
  9. 0xd218...b5c9 No, $1,474 (43% win rate)
  10. 0x52d9...fb1a Yes, $1,170

Related Theses

Chiba Kashima under 2.5 goals

Covers 1 related market

Matsumoto Yamaga wins today

Covers 1 related market

Imabari Sanuki stays low-scoring

Covers 1 related market

Cerezo Nagoya stays low-scoring

Covers 1 related market

Fagiano Okayama won't win

Covers 1 related market

Ninjas in Pyjamas sweep WE

Covers 3 related markets

T1 sweeps Gen.G

Covers 3 related markets

Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-17?

ResolvedFagiano Okayama vs. Shimizu S-Pulse$14,513 tracked3 signalsSportsJapan J LeagueGamesSoccer
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 17, 2026 If Fagiano Okayama wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Yes
102¢
69¢
37¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-17?

53m ago

$10,463 on Yes at 71¢

71¢100¢29¢

Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-17?

1h ago

$3,050 on No at 61¢

61¢0¢61¢

Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-17?

1h ago

$1,000 on No at 61¢

61¢0¢61¢

Related Theses