Part of: FC Alverca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora

Will FC Alverca win on 2026-08-15?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,072.

Categories: Games, Primeira Liga, Sports, Soccer

Notable Trades

Serial trader drove sharp No move

A serial cross-market trader placed a concentrated $10.1K No position alongside a 47.8x volume surge and a sharp 51-point move toward No.

  • This trader has participated across 238 markets and is up $262,496 over 592 resolved bets.
  • A concentrated $10,139 No position coincided with a 47.8x volume spike and No rising from roughly 61¢ to 92¢.
  • The weighted entry was about 72¢, implying the trader saw substantial value before the market repriced.

$10,139 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%

Three-wallet cluster doubles down on No

Three wallets added $14.4K to No amid a 276x volume spike and a sharp move to 88%, led by a highly active profitable trader.

  • Three wallets committed $14,417 to No, with the market moving from roughly 44% to 88% for No.
  • The leading wallet is up $260,720 across 592 resolved bets and has traded 237 markets across 170 events.
  • The bets added to existing No positions, signaling increased conviction rather than a brand-new thesis.

$14,417 on No

Profitable serial trader adds to Yes

A profitable serial cross-market trader with a 67% win rate is adding $7,516 to an existing Yes position at 45¢.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 33 resolved trades and is up $76,371 lifetime.
  • They added $7,516 to an existing Yes position, bringing their investment to over $24,000.
  • The 45¢ entry implies a roughly 2.2x payout if FC Alverca wins.

$7,516 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0a39...b0b9 Outcome 39668935, $19,421 (66% win rate)
  2. 0x076d...8d4c Outcome 39668935, $7,597 (65% win rate)
  3. 0x0178...3f7a Outcome 39668935, $1,020 (93% win rate)
  4. 0x325f...4511 Outcome 39668935, $771 (65% win rate)
  5. 0x61d4...3593 Outcome 39668935, $412 (52% win rate)
  6. 0x3654...1b78 Outcome 39668935, $403
  7. 0x5577...53d2 Outcome 39668935, $260
  8. 0xefbc...b344 Outcome 39668935, $250
  9. 0x15fa...8fdf Outcome 39668935, $217
  10. 0x3f58...d93a Outcome 39668935, $211

Related Theses

Early goal, exactly two total

Covers 3 related markets

Ghana covers low-scoring match

Covers 4 related markets

Early goal, low-scoring match

Covers 3 related markets

Senegal advances in second-half goalfest

Covers 3 related markets

England advances after scoreless first half

Covers 4 related markets

Heart of Midlothian will win

Covers 1 related market

Slow start, exactly four goals

Covers 3 related markets

Brighton will win August 23

Covers 1 related market

VfL Bochum will win rug

Covers 1 related market

Rosenborg BK will win

Covers 1 related market

Will FC Alverca win on 2026-08-15?

ResolvedFC Alverca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora$32,072 tracked3 signalsGamesPrimeira LigaSportsSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 15, 2026 If FC Alverca wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No
102¢
74¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will FC Alverca win on 2026-08-15?

8d ago

$10,139 on No at 72¢

Will FC Alverca win on 2026-08-15?

8d ago

$14,417 on No at 78¢

Will FC Alverca win on 2026-08-15?

8d ago

$7,516 on Yes at 45¢

Related Theses