Part of: FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart

Will FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,662.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, DFB-Pokal

Notable Trades

80% winner leans draw

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 80% win rate and positive lifetime P&L sold No, effectively moving toward the draw side amid a pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $80K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 77 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
  • Selling No at 84¢ is equivalent to buying the draw at 16¢.

$1,866 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable high-volume sports trader sold the No side into a sharp pre-event volume spike, effectively taking the draw at 16¢, though it may be position management rather than a fresh standalone long.

  • This bettor is up $260k across 1,438 resolved trades, with over $3.3M historically invested.
  • They sold No at 84¢, which is equivalent to buying the draw at 16¢.
  • Market activity is unusually high, with volume running 46x above its recent average.

$2,796 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%

Top Holders

  1. 0x040d...1a5e Outcome 51841808, $7,064 (72% win rate)
  2. 0x2759...2b38 Outcome 51841808, $5,309 (48% win rate)
  3. 0xfde6...7ed6 Outcome 51841808, $5,000 (67% win rate)
  4. 0xd538...317c Outcome 51841808, $667 (44% win rate)
  5. 0x135d...56c0 Outcome 51841808, $568 (85% win rate)
  6. 0x325f...4511 Outcome 51841808, $501 (65% win rate)
  7. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 51247042, $462
  8. 0x8adc...7a1b Outcome 51841808, $441 (34% win rate)
  9. 0xa639...f5e8 Outcome 51841808, $278
  10. 0x8103...4d0a Outcome 51841808, $268

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Wolfsburg will not win

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Will FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?

ResolvedFC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart$4,662 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerDFB-Pokal

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 23, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?

57d ago

$1,866 on Yes at 16¢

Will FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?

57d ago

$2,796 on Yes at 16¢

Related Theses