Part of: FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

28 smart money signals detected, totaling $833,016.

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports trader

Proven high-volume trader with a 66% win rate and nearly $947k profit bought Bayern No at 85¢ across a broader event thesis, and the market has since moved to 98¢.

This bettor has won 66% of 6,853 resolved bets and is up about $947k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 102 events and $566k in similar event bets.
They bought No at 85¢ before it moved to 98¢, so the edge appears mostly priced in now.

$1,924 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Six-wallet sharp sports cluster

A six-wallet same-direction Bayern Yes cluster is notable because it includes strong cross-market sports bettors, though the price has moved sharply against their original entries.

Six wallets put $35k on Bayern Yes in the same window.
The flow includes a serial sports trader with 88% wins across 265 events.
Current Yes odds are 14¢, far below the cluster’s roughly 28¢ average entry.

$35,354 on Yes

97% serial event trader

A highly profitable 97% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Bayern NO at 79¢ and the position has already moved to 88¢.

This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $337K lifetime.
They have traded across 73 events with $728K deployed, showing a long pattern of successful event betting.
They bought No at 79¢ before it moved to 88¢, suggesting they caught the market before the latest price shift.

$3,165 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

Sharp 10-wallet No cluster

Strong No-side cluster with $167k from 10 wallets, including multiple high-performing sports/event traders and a major price move from roughly 60¢ to 70¢.

10 wallets put $167k on No, including linked funding and one $96k lead bet.
Several bettors have strong records, including one with 99% wins across 408 resolved positions and $6.0M profit.
They entered mostly around 60–63¢ and No has already moved to 70¢ after a large pre-event volume surge.

$167,084 on No

Profitable bettor joins Yes cluster

Profitable serial cross-market trader is joining an 8-wallet one-sided Bayern Yes cluster amid a large pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up $244K lifetime.
8 wallets bought the same Bayern Yes side for $28K total.
They entered at 32¢ after Yes fell 30 points today, making this a contrarian rebound bet.

$2,020 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

21-wallet one-sided flow

Strong one-sided flow: 21 wallets bought Bayern Yes for $155k, including linked wallets and a young profitable wallet, though the price has moved against the trade since entry.

21 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $155k in Yes bets.
This wallet is new but already up $3,957 with 6 wins and 0 losses resolved.
The trader paid 41¢, while the market is now around 34¢ after a sharp drop.

$1,394 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

85% winner in 21-wallet push

High-confidence sports flow: an 85% lifetime winner bought Bayern Yes alongside 21 one-sided wallets, though the price has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $674K lifetime.
21 wallets bought the same Yes outcome for $155K, with 2 wallets sharing a funder.
The trade came right before the listed game time, but the price has fallen from 61¢ to 34¢ since entry.

$2,073 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

21-wallet late Bayern push

High-conviction coordinated late flow: 21 wallets bought Bayern Yes near the final resolution window, including a profitable serial sports trader, though the price has since moved sharply against them.

21 wallets bought the same side for $155K, with 2 wallets linked by a shared funder.
This bettor has a long record across sports markets: 319 resolved bets, 65% wins, and $137K profit.
The buy came 20 seconds before the listed resolution time, but Bayern Yes has fallen from 61¢ to 34¢ since entry.

$1,680 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

Final-minute NO cluster

Final-minute one-sided NO buying on a live Bayern match, with 6 wallets pushing the outcome from 40¢ to 58¢ amid a major volume spike.

6 wallets bought the same side in the final minute, totaling $18,945 on No.
This trade entered at 40¢ and the market quickly moved to 58¢, suggesting the flow was ahead of the price.
Volume was 24x above normal, consistent with live bettors reacting to late-game information.

$2,192 on No | Wallet win rate: 44%

Late six-wallet No push

High-conviction late live-sports flow: six wallets bought No within minutes of resolution amid a major volume spike and a sharp move from 40¢ to 58¢, though this individual wallet has a poor long-term record.

Six wallets are all buying No right before resolution, totaling nearly $19k on the same side.
This trade hit at 40¢ and the market quickly moved to 58¢, showing strong follow-through.
Volume is running 24x above normal in a highly active live sports market.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 40%

Top Holders

0x91ee...c5b8 — Outcome 68423036, $386,669 (94% win rate)
0x9ac2...be3d — Outcome 68423036, $239,917 (78% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 33595648, $172,079
0x38f0...2768 — Outcome 68423036, $170,842 (93% win rate)
0x433f...a0dc — Outcome 68423036, $100,000 (64% win rate)
0x912a...2e6a — Outcome 68423036, $80,408 (86% win rate)
0xe733...8ed4 — Outcome 68423036, $66,292 (91% win rate)
0x3fd9...1ef0 — Outcome 68423036, $56,996 (95% win rate)
0x571c...c16a — Outcome 68423036, $35,182 (54% win rate)
0x37e4...c991 — Outcome 68423036, $28,348 (76% win rate)

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Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

ResolvedFC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC$833,016 tracked28 signalsSportsGamesSoccerUCL

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 6, 2026 If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.