Part of: VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,345,646.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, Games, bundesliga

Notable Trades

20-wallet linked whale cluster

A 20-wallet linked cluster put $1.33M on Yes amid a 2154x volume spike, backed by several profitable wallets and a move from roughly 64–65¢ to 68¢.

20 wallets are buying the same side, totaling $1.33M on Yes.
Several strong bettors are in the flow, including wallets up $1.9M and $469K lifetime.
Entry around 65¢ is already moving higher, with the market now at 68¢ after a 2154x volume spike.

$1,335,479 on Yes

90% winner joins No cluster

A highly profitable 90% win-rate wallet joined a 14-wallet linked one-sided move buying No, though the market has since moved sharply against their 36¢ entry.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $881K lifetime.
14 wallets bought the same side, totaling $315K on No, with 3 wallets sharing a funder.
The bettor paid 36¢ for No, while the market now offers it near 10¢ after a sharp move toward Bayern.

$2,321 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

14-wallet contrarian No cluster

High-conviction coordinated No buying: 14 wallets put $315k on the same side, including linked wallets, though the market has since moved sharply against them.

14 wallets bought No together for $315k, with 3 wallets sharing a funder.
The featured bettor is up $1.84M lifetime and has traded across 295 events.
Entry at 37¢ has moved to 10¢, so this is a risky contrarian position rather than momentum-following.

$7,846 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%

Top Holders

0xe26c...88cf — Outcome 11276135, $540,503 (100% win rate)
0xa710...23c4 — Outcome 11276135, $364,587 (55% win rate)
0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 11276135, $276,033 (52% win rate)
0x57cd...a0fb — Outcome 11276135, $255,200 (52% win rate)
0x37e4...c991 — Outcome 11276135, $170,006 (75% win rate)
0xfd29...77ae — Outcome 12499846, $153,045 (92% win rate)
0x2759...2b38 — Outcome 11276135, $137,669 (25% win rate)
0xe72b...b0a0 — Outcome 11276135, $88,052 (50% win rate)
0x5c3a...020b — Outcome 11276135, $87,010 (55% win rate)
0x12ec...41ae — Outcome 11276135, $79,995 (82% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?

ResolvedVfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München$1,345,646 tracked3 signalsSportsSoccerGamesbundesliga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 9, 2026 If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.