Part of: Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-07-22?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,007.
Categories: Games, Sports, Soccer, MLS
Notable Trades
Serial trader ahead of sharp repricing
A $4,000 Yes sale coincided with a 398x volume spike and a sharp repricing from 67% to 24%, indicating a potentially informed bearish move.
- A $3,999.99 sale of Yes at 67¢ was followed by Yes falling to 24%.
- Trading volume reached 398 times its historical average across eight trades.
- This wallet has traded across 85 events, though its 63% win rate is not exceptionally strong.
$4,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
Four-wallet FC Dallas Yes cluster
Four wallets deployed nearly $25,000 on Yes amid a 398x volume spike, including two profitable bettors, though the market has since moved sharply against the entries.
- Four wallets bought Yes for nearly $25,000 during a 398x surge in market activity.
- Two participants have profitable histories: one is up $599,000 at a 62% win rate, and another is up $41,000 at 63%.
- The market later fell from roughly 66¢ to 24¢, so the coordinated bet has not yet been validated and should be treated cautiously.
$26,511 on Yes
Sharp bettor buys FC Dallas Yes
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate and substantial edge bought Yes after a sharp market move higher.
- This bettor wins 83% of 142 resolved trades while buying at an average 52% price.
- The wallet has earned $4.24M on $22.54M invested across 176 markets and 164 events.
- Bought Yes at 60¢ after the market rose 26% in one day, signaling continued conviction.
$1,343 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%
Sharp bettor scaling into FC Dallas
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 87% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing FC Dallas position at 36%.
- This bettor has won 87% of 160 resolved trades and is up $136,363.
- They are adding to an existing $4,607 Yes position, signaling continued conviction in FC Dallas.
- The entry at 36¢ is near the current 34% market price, while their average winning entry is only 55%.
$1,250 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Perfect-record bettor adds to No
A highly profitable bettor with a 36-0 record and substantial edge is adding $9,904 to an existing No position on FC Dallas.
- This bettor has won all 36 resolved positions, with a $352,924 profit and average entry odds of 57%.
- They added $9,904 to No at 67¢ after already investing $14,794 in the same position.
- The trade is large relative to the market's reported recent activity, signaling strong conviction that FC Dallas will not win.
$9,904 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 23406871, $35,878 (57% win rate)
- 0xd38a...8d26 — Outcome 23406871, $13,078 (84% win rate)
- 0xb10b...0b04 — Outcome 23406871, $6,666 (84% win rate)
- 0xf148...0b4f — Outcome 23406871, $4,607 (80% win rate)
- 0x2217...1660 — Outcome 23406871, $980 (56% win rate)
- 0x912f...b25b — Outcome 23406871, $927
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 58243554, $768
- 0x9079...b19b — Outcome 23406871, $478 (75% win rate)
- 0x677e...4a1f — Outcome 23406871, $300
- 0xca3d...2fd7 — Outcome 23406871, $300
Related Theses
PARIVISION wins a close five-game series
Covers 5 related markets
