This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades across 89 markets and has traded 69 events They bought No at 89¢, backing the heavy favorite in a liquid soccer market The edge is the bettor’s track record, not unusual market timing or a big price move

Part of: FC Porto vs. FC Famalicão

Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-04-04?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,207.

Categories: Games, Primeira Liga, Sports, Soccer

Notable Trades

85% winner joins No cluster

Three wallets piled into No around 89-90¢, and one is a serial cross-market bettor with an 85% win rate across 70 events, making this coordinated late-game soccer positioning worth tracking.

Three wallets bought nearly $6.0k of No in the same market at 89-90¢
One of the wallets wins 85% of resolved bets across 70 events and 76 markets
They are backing the already favored side in a fairly liquid market, so this looks more like sharp confirmation than a huge mispricing bet

$5,983 on No

85% win-rate bettor

An 85% win-rate serial cross-market bettor bought the favored No side at 89¢, making this a modest but still followable sharp-bettor signal despite the routine price level.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades across 89 markets and has traded 69 events
They bought No at 89¢, backing the heavy favorite in a liquid soccer market
The edge is the bettor’s track record, not unusual market timing or a big price move

$1,224 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 71607172, $4,232 (72% win rate)
0x9ef1...cea5 — Outcome 71607172, $2,910
0xdc2d...6f93 — Outcome 71607172, $2,039 (80% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 37969720, $1,967
0x15d1...952d — Outcome 71607172, $970
0x525e...0b73 — Outcome 71607172, $810
0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 71607172, $620 (64% win rate)
0x92fb...09d0 — Outcome 71607172, $616
0xc9f7...b466 — Outcome 71607172, $417
0xfbb5...2b6a — Outcome 71607172, $265

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-04-04?

ResolvedFC Porto vs. FC Famalicão$7,207 tracked2 signalsGamesPrimeira LigaSportsSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 4, 2026 If FC Famalicão wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.