Part of: FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. Mjällby AIF
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-27?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,428.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UEL
Notable Trades
Serial bettor buys Salzburg Yes
A serial trader with 50,000 resolved bets placed a sizable Yes position during a 44.6x volume spike, though the wallet’s historical record does not show exceptional odds-adjusted edge.
- A $6,424 bet arrived during a 44.6x surge over the market’s normal 24-hour volume.
- This wallet has traded 2,854 markets and is up $5.8M across more than 50,000 resolved bets.
- The 77¢ entry implies a roughly 78% chance, broadly matching the current market price rather than offering a clear bargain.
$6,424 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
Three-wallet Salzburg conviction cluster
Three wallets coordinated $17,004 of Yes purchases amid a massive volume spike, though the wallets themselves do not show consistently strong profitability.
- Three wallets bought $17,004 of Yes at 81¢, a concentrated one-sided position in a relatively quiet market.
- The trades created a 2,412x volume spike and follow an 11.5% weekly rise in the Yes price.
- Two wallets are adding to existing Yes positions, but the group’s historical results are mixed rather than clearly sharp.
$17,004 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0x0a39...b0b9 — Outcome 10370307, $85,690 (81% win rate)
- 0x2ad5...62ff — Outcome 10370307, $3,000 (71% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Outcome 10370307, $1,332 (56% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 10370307, $868 (74% win rate)
- 0x2a98...ef19 — Outcome 10370307, $862
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10370307, $670
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 10370307, $444 (60% win rate)
- 0x9527...888b — Outcome 10370307, $400
- 0x6865...6033 — Outcome 10370307, $290
- 0x7091...96f8 — Outcome 10370307, $200 (48% win rate)
Related Theses
Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
Covers 14 related markets
Paraguay fails to win
Covers 3 related markets
Austria routs Argentina after halftime
Covers 9 related markets
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
Covers 10 related markets
Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
Covers 8 related markets
Ecuador wins big to nil
Covers 7 related markets
Tunisia beats Japan 3-0
Covers 9 related markets
Iraq upsets toothless France
Covers 15 related markets
France wins exactly 2-0
Covers 10 related markets
Norway and Senegal draw
Covers 3 related markets
