Part of: Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,636.
Categories: UCL, Games, Sports, Soccer
Notable Trades
Serial sharp fading the draw
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 83% win rate sold Draw at 29%, signaling a potentially strong No position despite the market’s subsequent move higher.
- This bettor wins 83% of trades across 255 resolved positions and is up $626,049.
- The wallet trades across 182 events, providing much stronger evidence than a one-off sports wager.
- Selling Draw at 29¢ is equivalent to buying No at 71¢, opposing the market’s 38% Draw price.
$2,900 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Sharp bettor joins No cluster
A proven profitable bettor with an 83% win rate joined a three-wallet No cluster, though part of the flow comes from a historically losing wallet.
- The strongest wallet wins 83% of 255 resolved bets, is up $626,049, and has no prior position shown on this market.
- Three wallets put $9,736 behind No, with one trader buying No at 70¢ and the sharp bettor selling Yes at 29¢—equivalent to buying No at 71¢.
- No is already priced at about 70%, so the signal shows conviction but limited value in a highly liquid market.
$9,736 on No
Top Holders
- 0x4408...1b6a — Outcome 80502667, $23,800 (52% win rate)
- 0x8a29...25a8 — Outcome 80502667, $15,592 (94% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 80502667, $3,709 (65% win rate)
- 0x7236...ea53 — Outcome 80502667, $3,138 (88% win rate)
- 0x67bf...f983 — Outcome 80502667, $2,500 (63% win rate)
- 0xa700...102b — Outcome 80502667, $2,020 (55% win rate)
- 0x5b62...d87f — Outcome 80502667, $2,000 (81% win rate)
- 0xcf8b...1a59 — Outcome 80502667, $1,545 (100% win rate)
- 0x47c7...cac7 — Outcome 80502667, $1,407 (94% win rate)
- 0x5811...0976 — Outcome 80502667, $1,279 (45% win rate)
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