Part of: Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais

Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,636.

Categories: UCL, Games, Sports, Soccer

Notable Trades

Serial sharp fading the draw

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 83% win rate sold Draw at 29%, signaling a potentially strong No position despite the market’s subsequent move higher.

  • This bettor wins 83% of trades across 255 resolved positions and is up $626,049.
  • The wallet trades across 182 events, providing much stronger evidence than a one-off sports wager.
  • Selling Draw at 29¢ is equivalent to buying No at 71¢, opposing the market’s 38% Draw price.

$2,900 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp bettor joins No cluster

A proven profitable bettor with an 83% win rate joined a three-wallet No cluster, though part of the flow comes from a historically losing wallet.

  • The strongest wallet wins 83% of 255 resolved bets, is up $626,049, and has no prior position shown on this market.
  • Three wallets put $9,736 behind No, with one trader buying No at 70¢ and the sharp bettor selling Yes at 29¢—equivalent to buying No at 71¢.
  • No is already priced at about 70%, so the signal shows conviction but limited value in a highly liquid market.

$9,736 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0x4408...1b6a Outcome 80502667, $23,800 (52% win rate)
  2. 0x8a29...25a8 Outcome 80502667, $15,592 (94% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 80502667, $3,709 (65% win rate)
  4. 0x7236...ea53 Outcome 80502667, $3,138 (88% win rate)
  5. 0x67bf...f983 Outcome 80502667, $2,500 (63% win rate)
  6. 0xa700...102b Outcome 80502667, $2,020 (55% win rate)
  7. 0x5b62...d87f Outcome 80502667, $2,000 (81% win rate)
  8. 0xcf8b...1a59 Outcome 80502667, $1,545 (100% win rate)
  9. 0x47c7...cac7 Outcome 80502667, $1,407 (94% win rate)
  10. 0x5811...0976 Outcome 80502667, $1,279 (45% win rate)

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Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?

ResolvedFenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais$12,636 tracked2 signalsUCLGamesSportsSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 18, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No
77¢
65¢
53¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?

5d ago

$2,900 on No at 71¢

Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?

5d ago

$9,736 on No at 70¢

Related Theses