Part of: Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais

Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 18, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,636.

Categories: UCL, Games, Sports, Soccer

Notable Trades

Serial sharp fading the draw

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 83% win rate sold Draw at 29%, signaling a potentially strong No position despite the market’s subsequent move higher.

  • This bettor wins 83% of trades across 255 resolved positions and is up $626,049.
  • The wallet trades across 182 events, providing much stronger evidence than a one-off sports wager.
  • Selling Draw at 29¢ is equivalent to buying No at 71¢, opposing the market’s 38% Draw price.

$2,900 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp bettor joins No cluster

A proven profitable bettor with an 83% win rate joined a three-wallet No cluster, though part of the flow comes from a historically losing wallet.

  • The strongest wallet wins 83% of 255 resolved bets, is up $626,049, and has no prior position shown on this market.
  • Three wallets put $9,736 behind No, with one trader buying No at 70¢ and the sharp bettor selling Yes at 29¢—equivalent to buying No at 71¢.
  • No is already priced at about 70%, so the signal shows conviction but limited value in a highly liquid market.

$9,736 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0x4408...1b6a — No, $23,800 (59% win rate)
  2. 0x8a29...25a8 — No, $15,592 (94% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 — No, $3,709 (64% win rate)
  4. 0x7236...ea53 — No, $3,138 (88% win rate)
  5. 0x67bf...f983 — No, $2,500 (65% win rate)
  6. 0xa700...102b — No, $2,020 (55% win rate)
  7. 0x5b62...d87f — No, $2,000 (81% win rate)
  8. 0xcf8b...1a59 — No, $1,545 (100% win rate)
  9. 0x47c7...cac7 — No, $1,407 (90% win rate)
  10. 0x5811...0976 — No, $1,279 (45% win rate)

Related Theses

Belgium advances in low-scoring match

Covers 3 related markets

Low-scoring match, Villa held under two

Covers 3 related markets

Lille-Betis under four goals

Covers 3 related markets

Learner Tien will beat Gael Monfils

Covers 1 related market

England will score under three

Covers 1 related market

Lightning-Rangers stay under 6.5

Covers 1 related market

Mannarino will beat Shapovalov

Covers 1 related market

Belgium-Türkiye won’t both score

Covers 1 related market

Lyonnais will win on August 26

Covers 1 related market

Maddison Inglis beats Sara Bejlek

Covers 1 related market

Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais$12,636 tracked2 signalsUCLGamesSportsSoccer
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 18, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?

2026-08-18 20:15 UTC

$2,900 on No at 71¢

Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?

2026-08-18 20:06 UTC

$9,736 on No at 70¢

Related Theses