Part of: Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $149,529.

Categories: UCL, Games, Sports, Soccer

Notable Trades

Proven sharp buying Fenerbahçe Yes

A highly profitable, proven bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $1,356 wager on Yes at near-even odds.

  • This bettor wins 83% of 250 resolved trades and is up $618,773 lifetime.
  • The fresh $1,356 Yes position was opened at 48¢, despite the market being roughly evenly priced.
  • They have traded across 171 events and 201 markets, indicating a broad, repeatable track record rather than a one-off bet.

$1,751 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Four-wallet Yes surge

Four wallets deployed nearly $89,000 on Yes during a 147x volume spike, creating a notable coordinated directional signal despite limited proven track records.

  • Four wallets bought nearly $89,000 of Yes during a 147x historical volume spike.
  • The largest wallet added about $79,000 around 46–48¢ to an existing Yes position.
  • The market is near even odds, so this concentrated flow signals meaningful conviction rather than a favorite being chased.

$88,984 on Yes

Serial trader with 71% win rate

A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with 5,209 resolved bets and a 71% win rate is buying Yes at 49%, though the position is modest relative to market liquidity.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 5,209 resolved trades and earned about $447,500 lifetime.
  • The wallet trades across 442 events and 495 markets, providing a substantial track record beyond a single lucky bet.
  • A $1,668 Yes purchase at 49% shows moderate conviction in a liquid market with a 1¢ spread.

$2,708 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Five-wallet No cluster with perfect bettor

Five wallets placed $35,171 on No amid a 162.8x volume spike, including a proven bettor with 41 wins from 41 resolved positions.

  • Five wallets concentrated $35,171 on No while market activity spiked to 162.8 times its historical average.
  • One wallet has won 41 of 41 resolved positions, is up $2.18 million, and entered No with $19,500 at 55¢.
  • Several wallets are adding to existing No positions, reinforcing the group’s conviction that Fenerbahçe will not win.

$8,160 on No

Perfect-record bettor adds to Yes

A proven bettor with 41 straight wins and $2.18M in profits added nearly $20K to an already large Yes position at 48–49¢ in a thin market.

  • This bettor has won 41 of 41 resolved positions and is up $2.18 million.
  • They added $19,661 to Yes at 48–49¢, increasing an existing $40,311 position.
  • The trade was enormous relative to recent volume, signaling strong conviction despite the market’s near-even odds.

$19,323 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%

Serial trader with 71% win rate

A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with 5,209 resolved bets and a 71% win rate is buying Yes at 49%, though the position is modest relative to market liquidity.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 5,209 resolved trades and earned about $447,500 lifetime.
  • The wallet trades across 442 events and 495 markets, providing a substantial track record beyond a single lucky bet.
  • A $1,668 Yes purchase at 49% shows moderate conviction in a liquid market with a 1¢ spread.

$1,668 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Sharp bettor adds to No

A highly profitable bettor with a 238-54 record and substantial edge is adding to an existing No position at 52%.

  • This bettor wins 82% of 292 resolved trades and is up $76,458 lifetime.
  • They are adding $1,680 to an existing No position at 52%, signaling continued conviction.
  • The wallet trades across 32 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process rather than a one-off bet.

$1,680 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

97% win-rate bettor adds to Yes

A highly proven bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Yes position at 49%.

  • This bettor has won 97% of 79 resolved trades and is up $97,377.
  • The wallet has traded across 89 events for $231,934, indicating a sustained and repeatable edge.
  • Adding another $2,000 to an existing Yes position at 49% signals continued conviction despite the market being nearly even.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%

95% bettor adds to No

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate is adding to an existing No position at 52%, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest alert score.

  • This bettor has won 54 of 57 resolved trades and is up $1.46 million.
  • They are adding $2,238 to an existing No position, bringing total investment to about $6,541.
  • The No entry is 52¢, near the market price, with a 62¢ maximum suggested entry.

$2,238 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

Perfect-record bettor adds to Yes

A proven bettor with 41 straight wins and $2.18M in profits added nearly $20K to an already large Yes position at 48–49¢ in a thin market.

  • This bettor has won 41 of 41 resolved positions and is up $2.18 million.
  • They added $19,661 to Yes at 48–49¢, increasing an existing $40,311 position.
  • The trade was enormous relative to recent volume, signaling strong conviction despite the market’s near-even odds.

$19,661 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0x983e...6748 Outcome 96816550, $456,400 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 96816550, $24,355 (65% win rate)
  3. 0x8e4e...1dfc Outcome 96816550, $10,000 (89% win rate)
  4. 0x6195...b9e3 Outcome 96816550, $6,845 (70% win rate)
  5. 0x1d60...453d Outcome 96816550, $5,848 (74% win rate)
  6. 0xfa10...8ee9 Outcome 96816550, $5,780
  7. 0x4607...d542 Outcome 96816550, $4,082 (98% win rate)
  8. 0x425b...18f1 Outcome 96816550, $2,777 (65% win rate)
  9. 0x5b63...11a4 Outcome 96816550, $2,436 (70% win rate)
  10. 0xdd5e...9040 Outcome 96816550, $2,271 (83% win rate)

Related Theses

Belgium advances in low-scoring match

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Four or five total goals

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Fenerbahçe SK Will Win August 18

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Morocco wins on June 24

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China PR wins June match

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Kia Tigers Will Defeat Kiwoom Heroes

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Portugal fails to win

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Senegal will win

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Fenerbahçe SK will not win

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England will score under three

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Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?

ResolvedFenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais$149,529 tracked11 signalsUCLGamesSportsSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 18, 2026 If Fenerbahçe SK wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No
66¢
58¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?

5d ago

$1,751 on Yes at 48¢

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?

5d ago

$88,984 on Yes at 48¢

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?

5d ago

$2,708 on Yes at 49¢

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?

5d ago

$8,160 on No at 55¢

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?

5d ago

$19,323 on Yes at 48¢

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?

5d ago

$1,668 on Yes at 49¢

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?

5d ago

$1,680 on No at 52¢

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?

5d ago

$2,000 on Yes at 49¢

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?

5d ago

$2,238 on No at 52¢

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?

6d ago

$19,661 on Yes at 48¢

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?

6d ago

$1,356 on Yes at 48¢

Related Theses