Part of: Eurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country

Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,807.

Notable Trades

85% winner backing favorite

Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a strong 85% record across 113 resolved bets and $189k lifetime profit.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $189k lifetime.
They bought $1.2k of Yes at 86¢, adding conviction to a market already up 16.5 points this week.
Entry is high, but the wallet’s long track record makes the favorite-side bet worth following.

$1,204 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

92% serial cross-market bettor

A highly experienced serial cross-market bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Finland Yes at 85¢, sizing meaningfully in a relatively quiet market.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $30k lifetime across $3.3M invested.
Their $1.5k buy was about 78% of recent 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
Finland has already moved up 16 points this week, and this sharp wallet is buying into the momentum.

$1,503 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

Brand-new whale backing Yes

A brand-new wallet is making a relatively large repeat bet on a thin Eurovision market, buying $3.1k of Yes at 67¢ with limited liquidity.

This wallet is only 32 minutes old but has already triggered 3 large-bet alerts totaling $5.7k.
The $3.1k buy was two-thirds of the market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
Entry at 67¢ implies the bettor sees Finland as clearly mispriced despite the event still trading with a 5¢ spread.

$3,100 on Yes

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 54930884, $4,020
0x4f07...0170 — Outcome 54930884, $690 (87% win rate)
0xf937...53a1 — Outcome 54930884, $655
0x4a1f...1a9f — Outcome 54930884, $529
0xce30...3760 — Outcome 54930884, $450
0xe542...0a37 — Outcome 54930884, $338 (62% win rate)
0xcb14...5358 — Outcome 54930884, $295
0x6e3f...32a4 — Outcome 54930884, $210
0x16cb...2704 — Outcome 54930884, $207 (75% win rate)
0x5f43...65fd — Outcome 54930884, $200

Related Theses

Team Falcons beat PARIVISION

Covers 1 related market

Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: Best Nordic Country$5,807 tracked3 signalsEurovisionCultureMusic

This market will resolve to the Nordic country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places highest. For the purposes of this market, the Nordic countries are Iceland, Denmark, Norway, Finland, and Sweden. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.