Part of: EC Vitória vs. SE Palmeiras
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $152,033.
Categories: Sports, Soccer, Games, Brazil Serie A
Notable Trades
Six-wallet coordinated No bet
Six wallets made a coordinated $16,982 No push amid a 198.6x volume spike, though the trader lacks a clearly sharp long-term record and the position has since moved against them.
- Six wallets bought No for a combined $16,982, signaling concentrated conviction against Palmeiras.
- The market saw a 198.6x historical volume spike and a 23-point No price move around the activity.
- This wallet has 484 resolved bets and $66,364 in profit, but its 62% win rate is only moderate rather than elite.
$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 63%
Six-wallet coordinated No bet
Six wallets made a coordinated $16,982 No push amid a 198.6x volume spike, though the trader lacks a clearly sharp long-term record and the position has since moved against them.
- Six wallets bought No for a combined $16,982, signaling concentrated conviction against Palmeiras.
- The market saw a 198.6x historical volume spike and a 23-point No price move around the activity.
- This wallet has 484 resolved bets and $66,364 in profit, but its 62% win rate is only moderate rather than elite.
$1,985 on No | Wallet win rate: 63%
Coordinated Palmeiras Yes accumulation
Four wallets made roughly $15.5K of economically bullish Palmeiras exposure amid a 198.6x volume spike and a 33-point Yes price surge.
- Four wallets deployed about $15,500 toward Yes, including one bettor with a 69% win rate and $70,000 profit.
- Trading volume reached 198.6 times its historical average while Yes rose 33 percentage points to 82%.
- Most bullish entries were between 62¢ and 67¢, indicating substantial conviction before the market repriced.
$15,544 on Yes
Six-wallet No cluster
Six wallets collectively bought No during a 198.6x volume surge, creating a meaningful coordinated downside signal despite the individual trade being routine profit-taking.
- Six wallets bought No for a combined $16,982, signaling coordinated conviction that Palmeiras will not win.
- Trading volume was 198.6 times its historical average across 16 trades, indicating unusually concentrated activity.
- The featured wallet’s Yes sale was likely profit-taking from an existing position, so its 55% record is supporting context rather than the main signal.
$2,754 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%
Five-wallet No surge
Five wallets deployed $91.9K on No amid an extreme volume spike, making this a strong coordinated directional signal despite mixed trader histories.
- Five wallets bought No for a combined $91,889, nearly three times the market's entire recent volume.
- Trading was 4,069x the historical average, suggesting unusually concentrated conviction rather than routine activity.
- One participant has a 98% win rate across 47 resolved bets, though the broader cluster includes several mixed track records.
$83,091 on No
Sharp bettor scales into Yes
A proven high-volume bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial historical edge added $42.4k to Yes amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 81% of 333 resolved positions and is up $3.6 million.
- They added $42,419 to Yes around 48–50¢, increasing an existing $245,677 position.
- The trades represented most of the market’s 24-hour volume during a 4,069× historical volume spike.
$42,419 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
99% winner backs Palmeiras No
A highly experienced serial trader with a 99% win rate and substantial historical edge made a fresh $4,240 bet on No near market odds.
- This bettor has won 1,542 of 1,553 resolved trades—a 99% win rate—with $16.3 million in reported profit.
- The wallet has traded across 591 events and is making a fresh $4,240 bet on No at 53¢.
- No is priced near even money, so the trade implies this experienced bettor sees Palmeiras as more likely not to win.
$4,240 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0xe301...8654 — Outcome 26757933, $104,670 (72% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 26757933, $86,654 (60% win rate)
- 0xcdc1...bdd8 — Outcome 26757933, $22,642 (99% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Outcome 26757933, $18,386 (56% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 26757933, $12,611 (62% win rate)
- 0xdbdd...a5de — Outcome 26757933, $8,694 (60% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 26757933, $8,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x9f15...bdb3 — Outcome 26757933, $7,399 (75% win rate)
- 0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 26757933, $6,460 (70% win rate)
- 0x9f41...8f27 — Outcome 26757933, $6,343 (85% win rate)
Related Theses
Germany wins by six plus
Covers 3 related markets
Spain wins comfortably
Covers 3 related markets
Brazil wins by four plus
Covers 3 related markets
Spain wins by multiple goals
Covers 1 related market
Mariners will beat Giants
Covers 1 related market
Bernet beats Dellien in Trieste
Covers 1 related market
Palmeiras will win August 5
Covers 1 related market
Padres cover against Dodgers
Covers 1 related market
Christian Leroy Duncan will win
Covers 1 related market
