Part of: CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-18?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $73,329.
Categories: Soccer, Copa Libertadores, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor exits collapsing Fluminense Yes
A highly experienced and demonstrably profitable bettor sold Yes at 80¢ in a market that has since collapsed to 2%, creating a strong equivalent No position signal despite the likely profit-taking context.
- This bettor has won 85% of 474 resolved positions and earned nearly $6.0M in profit.
- They sold $13,870 of Yes at 78–80¢, while Yes is now only 2%, strongly favoring No.
- The trade converts to buying No at an effective 20¢ entry, though the current 98¢ No price is far above that level.
$13,870 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Linked four-wallet No cluster
Four wallets, including a linked two-wallet cluster, concentrated nearly $41,000 on No in a market experiencing an extreme volume spike.
- Four wallets bought No for nearly $41,000, with two sharing a funder and accounting for roughly 80% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
- One participating bettor wins 72% of 34,569 resolved markets and is up $5.3 million lifetime.
- The coordinated buying occurred at 71¢ while No trades around 72¢, indicating a concentrated view that Fluminense will not win in regulation.
$40,959 on No
269-win bettor scaling into No
A highly successful bettor with 269 straight wins and substantial existing No exposure added nearly $10,000 at 72¢ amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 100% of 269 resolved trades and is up $451,000, with an average win price of 73%.
- They added nearly $10,000 to No at 72¢ while already holding $13,500, signaling increased conviction that Fluminense will not win.
- Trading volume was 433 times the historical average, adding notable support to the position.
$9,671 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Perfect-record bettor adds to No
A highly successful serial trader with 269 wins from 269 resolved bets is adding $7,153 to an existing No position despite paying above the current market price.
- This bettor has won 269 of 269 resolved trades and is up $451,000 lifetime.
- They added $7,153 to an existing No position, bringing their total investment to $13,500.
- The No entry at 72¢ is close to the market price, suggesting conviction rather than a speculative low-price purchase.
$7,153 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
99% winner backs Fluminense No
A highly experienced bettor with a 99% win rate and $17.35M profit is buying No at 70% in this soccer market.
- This bettor has won 1,917 of 1,936 resolved positions, with $17.35M in reported profit.
- The trade is a fresh $1,677 position backing No at 70%, matching the market's current price.
- The wallet has traded across 1,063 events and more than $4.95M in cross-market volume, providing an unusually large track record.
$1,677 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0xdb85...152f — Outcome 98995594, $62,380 (85% win rate)
- 0x9c16...09cb — Outcome 98995594, $5,294 (52% win rate)
- 0xbb0b...3790 — Outcome 98995594, $3,378 (76% win rate)
- 0xe432...934a — Outcome 98995594, $1,809
- 0x71a8...ec90 — Outcome 98995594, $1,737 (94% win rate)
- 0x9cda...1397 — Outcome 98995594, $1,604 (76% win rate)
- 0xdc41...dd7e — Outcome 98995594, $1,525 (73% win rate)
- 0x6a2b...3e5c — Outcome 98995594, $1,272
- 0xd202...1ef5 — Outcome 98995594, $1,167 (64% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 98995594, $1,006 (78% win rate)
Related Theses
Germany wins by six plus
Covers 3 related markets
Spain wins comfortably
Covers 3 related markets
Brazil wins by four plus
Covers 3 related markets
Spain wins by multiple goals
Covers 1 related market
Mariners will beat Giants
Covers 1 related market
Bernet beats Dellien in Trieste
Covers 1 related market
Palmeiras will win August 5
Covers 1 related market
Inter Miami will not win
Covers 1 related market
Padres cover against Dodgers
Covers 1 related market
Christian Leroy Duncan will win
Covers 1 related market
