Part of: France vs. Sweden

Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,580.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp wallets backing draw

A four-wallet one-sided draw bet is worth surfacing because it includes profitable serial sports/event traders, including one with an 80% win rate and positive lifetime P&L.

  • A bettor who wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $101k joined this draw-side move.
  • Four wallets put $18.9k on the same side, mostly equivalent to buying Yes around 10–12¢.
  • This came during a 45x pre-event volume spike, suggesting unusual positioning before the match.

$18,904 on Yes

97% winner backs long-shot draw

A profitable 97% lifetime bettor joined a $15.5k one-sided cluster buying the draw, though the position has since moved sharply against them.

  • One bettor in this cluster wins 97% of resolved bets and is up $395k lifetime.
  • Three wallets put $15.5k on the same long-shot draw outcome at 11–12¢.
  • The market is very active, but the draw has since fallen to 2¢, making this a high-risk contrarian follow.

$15,502 on Yes

91% sports sharp

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 91% win rate is buying No on the France-Sweden draw market, backed by a long cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $99,302 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 48 events with the same 91% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • They bought No at 85¢, betting against the draw in a liquid market.

$3,353 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Proven sports winner buying No

Sharp sports bettor with an 82% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying No on the draw outcome despite only a modest alert score.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $79k lifetime.
  • They have a large 224-bet track record, beating their average entry odds by 26 points.
  • Entry at 85¢ is a high-confidence bet that France vs. Sweden does not end in a draw.

$1,820 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 57287073, $723,425
  2. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 19550592, $171,693 (51% win rate)
  3. 0x3dfb...abaf Outcome 19550592, $133,333 (47% win rate)
  4. 0x5b63...11a4 Outcome 19550592, $103,947 (69% win rate)
  5. 0x685b...8239 Outcome 19550592, $90,046
  6. 0x6880...cf03 Outcome 19550592, $75,000 (83% win rate)
  7. 0x8bfe...2d74 Outcome 19550592, $61,000 (97% win rate)
  8. 0x4408...1b6a Outcome 19550592, $29,925 (47% win rate)
  9. 0xf031...c80c Outcome 19550592, $19,631 (91% win rate)
  10. 0x9703...69c2 Outcome 19550592, $13,932

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?

ResolvedFrance vs. Sweden$39,580 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 30, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No
87¢
85¢
82¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?

1d ago

$18,904 on Yes at 12¢

Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?

1d ago

$15,502 on Yes at 12¢

Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?

1d ago

$3,353 on No at 85¢

Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?

2d ago

$1,820 on No at 85¢

Related Theses