Part of: France vs. Sweden
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,580.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp wallets backing draw
A four-wallet one-sided draw bet is worth surfacing because it includes profitable serial sports/event traders, including one with an 80% win rate and positive lifetime P&L.
- A bettor who wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $101k joined this draw-side move.
- Four wallets put $18.9k on the same side, mostly equivalent to buying Yes around 10–12¢.
- This came during a 45x pre-event volume spike, suggesting unusual positioning before the match.
$18,904 on Yes
97% winner backs long-shot draw
A profitable 97% lifetime bettor joined a $15.5k one-sided cluster buying the draw, though the position has since moved sharply against them.
- One bettor in this cluster wins 97% of resolved bets and is up $395k lifetime.
- Three wallets put $15.5k on the same long-shot draw outcome at 11–12¢.
- The market is very active, but the draw has since fallen to 2¢, making this a high-risk contrarian follow.
$15,502 on Yes
91% sports sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 91% win rate is buying No on the France-Sweden draw market, backed by a long cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $99,302 lifetime.
- They have traded across 48 events with the same 91% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- They bought No at 85¢, betting against the draw in a liquid market.
$3,353 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
Proven sports winner buying No
Sharp sports bettor with an 82% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying No on the draw outcome despite only a modest alert score.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $79k lifetime.
- They have a large 224-bet track record, beating their average entry odds by 26 points.
- Entry at 85¢ is a high-confidence bet that France vs. Sweden does not end in a draw.
$1,820 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 57287073, $723,425
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 19550592, $171,693 (51% win rate)
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 19550592, $133,333 (47% win rate)
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 19550592, $103,947 (69% win rate)
- 0x685b...8239 — Outcome 19550592, $90,046
- 0x6880...cf03 — Outcome 19550592, $75,000 (83% win rate)
- 0x8bfe...2d74 — Outcome 19550592, $61,000 (97% win rate)
- 0x4408...1b6a — Outcome 19550592, $29,925 (47% win rate)
- 0xf031...c80c — Outcome 19550592, $19,631 (91% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 19550592, $13,932
