Part of: World Cup Group I Winner
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,663.
Categories: Soccer, Sports, world cup, FIFA World Cup, Group Futures, 2026 FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
93% sharp backs Yes
Surface: a highly proven 93% win-rate wallet with $820k lifetime profit and extensive cross-market history bought $7.5k of France Yes at 85¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $820k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 264 events with $2.56M in tracked flow.
- A $7.5k buy at 85¢ adds conviction despite France already being a heavy favorite.
$7,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Elite sports bettor fades favorite
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 86% win rate and $7.5M lifetime profit bought France No at 22¢.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $7.5M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 330 events, with over $5M in similar activity tracked.
- Buying No at 22¢ is a contrarian fade of France despite the market pricing France around 78%.
$3,080 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
92% win-rate serial bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate bought France Yes at 75¢ ahead of a 6¢ move higher.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.7M lifetime.
- They have traded across 757 related markets, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge.
- Entry at 75¢ moved to 81¢, showing the market has already started following their view.
$5,028 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% sharp leads Yes cluster
Three wallets bought $19.6k of Yes, led by a 92% lifetime winner up $2.7M, alongside a major volume spike and rising price.
- The lead bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $2.7M lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $19.6k of Yes in the same burst, pushing the price from about 71–75¢ to 77¢.
- Volume spiked 331x above normal and France Yes is up 11 points today.
$19,626 on Yes
Serial sports bettor buying favorite
Serial cross-market sports bettor with a 72% resolved win rate and positive P&L bought France Yes at 66¢, though the position size and market setup are only moderately compelling.
- This bettor has won 72% of 60 resolved bets and is up about $10.1K lifetime.
- They have traded across 46 events and 52 markets, suggesting a repeat sports-positioning strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 66¢ backs France as the clear Group I favorite with a tight 1¢ spread.
$2,820 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Perfect-record bettor
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a perfect 19-0 resolved record and positive lifetime P&L.
- This bettor is 19-for-19 on resolved bets and up $3.35K lifetime.
- They bought $1.6K of Yes at 66¢ in a relatively quiet market.
- Entry at 66¢ implies they see France as underpriced to win the group.
$1,609 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 86999834, $90,532
- 0xc430...1ebf — Outcome 86999834, $49,999 (96% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Outcome 86999834, $48,560 (85% win rate)
- 0x1eaf...9bf0 — Outcome 86999834, $10,223 (63% win rate)
- 0x6a32...0086 — Outcome 86999834, $7,500 (83% win rate)
- 0xda3a...381f — Outcome 86999834, $4,919 (55% win rate)
- 0xe83c...5e8f — Outcome 86999834, $4,768 (55% win rate)
- 0x9874...2e27 — Outcome 86999834, $1,762 (100% win rate)
- 0x40ce...bf90 — Outcome 86999834, $1,500 (99% win rate)
- 0xa5e3...4d7e — Outcome 86999834, $1,297 (19% win rate)
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