Part of: World Cup Group I Winner
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,663.
Categories: Soccer, Sports, world cup, FIFA World Cup, Group Futures, 2026 FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
93% sharp backs Yes
Surface: a highly proven 93% win-rate wallet with $820k lifetime profit and extensive cross-market history bought $7.5k of France Yes at 85¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $820k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 264 events with $2.56M in tracked flow.
- A $7.5k buy at 85¢ adds conviction despite France already being a heavy favorite.
$7,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
Elite sports bettor fades favorite
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 86% win rate and $7.5M lifetime profit bought France No at 22¢.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $7.5M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 330 events, with over $5M in similar activity tracked.
- Buying No at 22¢ is a contrarian fade of France despite the market pricing France around 78%.
$3,080 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
92% win-rate serial bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate bought France Yes at 75¢ ahead of a 6¢ move higher.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.7M lifetime.
- They have traded across 757 related markets, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge.
- Entry at 75¢ moved to 81¢, showing the market has already started following their view.
$5,028 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% sharp leads Yes cluster
Three wallets bought $19.6k of Yes, led by a 92% lifetime winner up $2.7M, alongside a major volume spike and rising price.
- The lead bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $2.7M lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $19.6k of Yes in the same burst, pushing the price from about 71–75¢ to 77¢.
- Volume spiked 331x above normal and France Yes is up 11 points today.
$19,626 on Yes
Serial sports bettor buying favorite
Serial cross-market sports bettor with a 72% resolved win rate and positive P&L bought France Yes at 66¢, though the position size and market setup are only moderately compelling.
- This bettor has won 72% of 60 resolved bets and is up about $10.1K lifetime.
- They have traded across 46 events and 52 markets, suggesting a repeat sports-positioning strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 66¢ backs France as the clear Group I favorite with a tight 1¢ spread.
$2,820 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Perfect-record bettor
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a perfect 19-0 resolved record and positive lifetime P&L.
- This bettor is 19-for-19 on resolved bets and up $3.35K lifetime.
- They bought $1.6K of Yes at 66¢ in a relatively quiet market.
- Entry at 66¢ implies they see France as underpriced to win the group.
$1,609 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%
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