Part of: France vs. Senegal
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 16, 2026 If France wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,026,058.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
Elite sharp caught move
A highly profitable 85% win-rate wallet bought France Yes at 82¢ ahead of a sharp move to 100¢, with supporting volume and price-impact signals.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $403k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 82¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
- Volume spiked 52x and Yes jumped 47 points, matching the wallet’s direction.
$7,551 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
81-wallet linked No cluster
Huge coordinated No-side flow from 81 wallets, including linked wallets and several strong historical winners, makes this worth surfacing despite some Yes sells likely being profit-taking.
- 81 wallets put $427k on No, with 7 wallets sharing the same funder.
- Several proven traders joined; one has won 93% across 1,580 resolved positions.
- Much of the latest flow sold Yes near 82¢, equivalent to buying No around 18¢.
$427,333 on No
Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp profitable sports bettor bought France Yes amid a major volume spike and 33-point upward move, with a strong cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $160K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 50 events with the same 79% win rate.
- France Yes has moved up 33 points with a 48x volume spike, supporting the same direction.
$1,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
37-wallet Yes surge
Strong coordinated Yes flow: 37 wallets bought the same side for about $290k alongside a 41x volume spike and a sharp move from 49¢ to 80¢.
- 37 wallets are all betting France Yes, totaling about $290k in one-sided flow.
- Volume spiked 41x versus normal, and the price has already jumped from this wallet’s 49¢ entry to 80¢.
- Four wallets share the same funder, suggesting coordinated conviction behind part of the move.
$1,515 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
37-wallet one-sided surge
High-conviction France Yes flow: a profitable 5-day-old repeat wallet joined a 37-wallet one-sided surge with a major volume spike.
- 37 wallets bought the same side, totaling about $290K in one scan window.
- This 5-day-old wallet is already up $8.3K and has been flagged 12 times for large bets.
- The trade entered at 62¢ and the market has already moved to 80¢, showing strong follow-through.
$1,001 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%
15-wallet No wave
Surfaced because a large 15-wallet wave is buying the equivalent No side, even though this specific wallet appears to be closing a prior Yes position rather than showing proven edge.
- 15 wallets are all betting the same way, with $128,781 flowing toward No.
- Market activity is surging, with volume running 52x above its historical average.
- This wallet is new and active, but its own track record is limited and slightly negative.
$1,760 on No | Wallet win rate: 39%
98% winner joins No wave
Highly proven wallet with a 98% win record is buying No alongside 12-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 39 of 40 resolved positions and is up $34.6K lifetime.
- 12 wallets are all buying No, totaling $179.5K in the same direction.
- Market volume spiked 48x while France’s Yes price fell 21 points, matching the No momentum.
$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%
Elite sharp joins No cluster
Elite 96% win-rate wallet bought No alongside heavy one-sided flow from 12 wallets and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $1.23M lifetime.
- 12 wallets are all buying No, totaling about $180K in the same direction.
- Market volume is surging 48x above normal while France's Yes price is down 21 points.
$3,119 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
Profitable new wallet with cluster
High-conviction France Yes buy from a very new but already profitable repeat wallet, backed by 20-wallet same-side flow and a pre-event volume spike.
- This 1-day-old wallet is already up $78.7K and has been repeatedly flagged across $131K of large bets.
- 20 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $111.6K, with 4 wallets linked by a shared funder.
- The market saw an 11.3x volume spike, and this bettor paid 55¢ despite the current price sitting near 52¢.
$1,293 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
95% winner joins Yes cluster
Elite 95% win-rate wallet with $1.14M profit is buying Yes alongside a large 23-wallet one-sided cluster and major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $1.14M lifetime.
- 23 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $345K on Yes.
- Volume is 42x above normal, suggesting heavy pre-game positioning.
$9,806 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 38%
Top Holders
- 0xd1c5...cbd0 — No, $1,999,994 (95% win rate)
- 0xf031...c80c — No, $828,798 (89% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $490,559
- 0xd0ad...f568 — No, $449,999 (33% win rate)
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — No, $379,999 (61% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — No, $286,182 (64% win rate)
- 0x81da...a109 — No, $197,996 (100% win rate)
- 0xc660...bd28 — No, $132,682 (73% win rate)
- 0x86d2...731d — No, $109,696 (95% win rate)
- 0xa8a5...122b — No, $106,580 (58% win rate)
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