Will FURIA win IEM Rio 2026?
This Polymarket asks whether FURIA will win IEM Rio 2026, the Counter-Strike 2 tournament scheduled for April 13-19, 2026. Based on recent smart money activity, sentiment is currently leaning against FURIA, with tracked sharp and profitable bettors hitting No. The market resolves to Yes if FURIA is declared the winner, and to Other if the event is canceled, postponed past April 30, 2026, or no winner is declared in time.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Rio 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for April 13th - April 19th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,465.
Categories: IEM Rio 2026, Sports, Esports, counter strike 2, Rewards 20, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
Profitable bettor leaning No
A profitable wallet with a solid 77% hit rate made a $3.6k bet that took nearly 60% of recent volume, suggesting meaningful conviction despite only a modest composite score.
- This bettor wins 77% of their trades and is up about $87.6k lifetime
- The $3.6k buy was nearly 60% of the market's recent volume, showing real conviction
- They bought No at 79¢ in a market that has already been trending against FURIA
$3,617 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
Sharp bettor hits No
A profitable sharp wallet with a 77% win rate made a concentrated $10.8k bet on No in a moderately thin esports market, accounting for more than the full 24h volume.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $87.6k overall.
- They put $10.8k on No in two trades, more than the market's full $6.1k 24-hour volume.
- They bought around 78-79¢ while No now sits at 78¢, showing clear conviction in a still-thin market.
$10,849 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0xc257...358e — Yes, $100,000 (96% win rate)
- 0x30c7...ac3b — No, $90,260 (56% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $18,584
- 0x50ac...a924 — No, $13,798 (77% win rate)
- 0xbf5e...4189 — Yes, $5,000 (56% win rate)
- 0x5674...8b14 — Yes, $5,000 (46% win rate)
- 0x7b33...9b98 — Yes, $2,983
- 0x3690...e16f — Yes, $1,847
- 0x9330...170a — Yes, $1,829
- 0x7193...ae51 — Yes, $951 (62% win rate)
