Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

17 smart money signals detected, totaling $638,607.

Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Elite bettor No avalanche

Elite 95% lifetime winner and coordinated one-sided flow aggressively bought the equivalent of No before the draw price collapsed to 0%.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $6.1M lifetime.
They put about $252K behind No, with an average converted entry near 37¢.
15 wallets were all on the same side for $308K, and Yes collapsed 83 points in 4 minutes.

$251,576 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

Sharp joins 15-wallet No wave

A proven sharp wallet sold Yes at 75¢, equivalent to buying No at 25¢, alongside a 15-wallet No wave that drove the draw odds sharply down.

This bettor wins 90% of their resolved bets and is up $15.4K lifetime.
15 wallets bought the same No side for $308K, with two sharing a funder.
The market moved violently toward No, with Yes dropping 83 points in four minutes.

$3,576 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp bettor joined 15-wallet NO wave

A proven 91% wallet sold Yes, equivalent to buying No at 40¢, alongside a large 15-wallet one-sided move that rapidly pushed the market to No.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $59K lifetime.
15 wallets bet the same way, with $308K total pushing toward No.
Entry was effectively buying No at 40¢ before the market moved to 100¢.

$6,040 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Proven wallets fade draw

Surface because multiple highly profitable wallets, including a 12-for-12 bettor up $440k, joined a large No-side flow despite some profit-taking noise.

A 12-for-12 bettor up $440k bought $29.5k of No.
The broader flow mapped to No totaled $218k across 16 wallets, far larger than the market’s $40k liquidity.
Several proven wallets joined, including one with 91% wins and another serial trader with 95% wins.

$218,432 on No

Profitable new wallet chasing draw

A very new but currently perfect bettor bought Yes ahead of a sharp move and volume spike, though opposing cluster flow makes the signal less clean.

This 2-day-old bettor is 7-for-7 on resolved trades and up $1.8k so far.
They bought Yes at 62¢ before the market moved to 72¢, alongside a 59x volume spike.
Large groups are betting both sides, so the edge is the wallet’s early record plus momentum rather than a clean one-sided cluster.

$2,399 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

28-wallet linked Yes surge

Strong one-sided coordinated flow with 28 wallets, linked funding, major volume spike, price impact, and cross-market positioning into Yes.

28 wallets bought the same side, totaling $111K, with linked funding behind part of the cluster.
The market saw a 60x volume spike and Yes jumped from 52¢ to 72¢ after the flow.
This wallet has won 14 of 16 resolved bets and is also positioned across 3 markets in the same event.

$8,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Perfect-record whale buys No

Surface because a highly profitable 12-for-12 wallet put $29.5K on No and the broader cluster totals $46K, even though some of the flow is profit-taking from prior Yes positions.

A bettor who is 12-for-12 and up $440K put $29.5K on No.
The full No-side cluster totals $46K across 11 wallets, led by one large whale-sized entry.
No is now around 48¢, below the whale’s 56¢ entry, offering a cheaper copy price.

$46,307 on No

Five-wallet draw push

High-score coordinated Yes flow on a sports draw market, backed by five wallets, cross-market positioning, and several profitable bettors as price moved from 23¢ to 26¢.

Five wallets all backed the draw, putting $10.9K on Yes within the alert window.
Several bettors have strong records, including wallets up $180K, $140K, and $73K lifetime.
The draw price has already moved from 23¢ to 26¢, matching a 31.6x volume spike into this game.

$10,857 on Yes

14-wallet funded cluster

Surface because a large 14-wallet funded cluster is backing No, though the market is highly liquid and the individual wallet’s win rate is ordinary.

14 wallets funded by the same address have put about $20k behind this position.
The bettor is buying No at 81¢, implying strong confidence the match does not end in a draw.
This wallet has handled $66.6M in resolved bets and is up about $889k lifetime.

$1,798 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%

99% winner buying draw

Surface despite the weak detection score because this is a highly profitable sharp wallet buying a meaningful $14k draw position.

This bettor has won 66 of 67 resolved bets and is up $275k lifetime.
They put $14k on the draw at 20¢, implying a potential 5x payout if it hits.
The wallet has been flagged 21 times before, suggesting this is a repeat high-conviction bettor.

$14,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 65748453, $130,316
0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 10792837, $86,137 (94% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 10792837, $82,023 (56% win rate)
0x8bfe...2d74 — Outcome 10792837, $70,000 (97% win rate)
0x1681...b1c7 — Outcome 10792837, $66,008 (69% win rate)
0x44a1...bd21 — Outcome 10792837, $56,482 (62% win rate)
0x7c73...6ee3 — Outcome 10792837, $50,000 (100% win rate)
0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 10792837, $45,909 (72% win rate)
0xfe1c...436c — Outcome 10792837, $35,000 (67% win rate)
0x4550...f741 — Outcome 10792837, $15,302 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

High-scoring close Netherlands-Sweden match

Covers 4 related markets

Germany-Côte d’Ivoire match happens

Covers 3 related markets

Ecuador routs Curaçao decisively

Covers 3 related markets

Japan routs Tunisia convincingly

Covers 5 related markets

France wins high-scoring shootout

Covers 4 related markets

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

ResolvedGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire$638,607 tracked17 signalsSoccerFIFA World CupSportsGames

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 20, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.