Part of: World Cup Group E Winner
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $47,412.
Categories: world cup, Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Group Futures, 2026 FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster fading Germany
A four-wallet cluster, including several high-volume winning bettors, bought No on Germany as market volume spiked and Yes fell sharply.
- Four wallets all bet No for about $15.9K, with the largest entry at 27¢ before No moved to 40¢.
- One bettor has won 80% of 1,821 resolved bets and is up about $620K lifetime.
- Volume spiked 82x above normal while Germany Yes dropped 17.6 percentage points.
$17,009 on No
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Proven profitable wallet with a 76% win rate and $569k lifetime profit is buying Germany Yes at 71% while showing a long-running cross-market betting pattern.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $569k lifetime.
- They have traded across 83 events and 130 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Buying at 71¢ implies confidence Germany’s true chance is meaningfully above the current market price.
$3,116 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Proven profitable wallet with a 76% win rate and $569k lifetime profit is buying Germany Yes at 71% while showing a long-running cross-market betting pattern.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $569k lifetime.
- They have traded across 83 events and 130 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Buying at 71¢ implies confidence Germany’s true chance is meaningfully above the current market price.
$1,614 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp cross-market trader with an 84% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Germany Yes despite a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $143.6K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 37 events with $147.9K deployed and the same 84% hit rate.
- Buying at 73¢ suggests confidence that Germany is still underpriced despite a recent 7-point weekly move.
$2,090 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
85% winner buying size
Sharp profitable wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate bought $14.1k of Germany Yes despite only a weak low-activity signal.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $558k lifetime.
- They bought $14.1k of Yes at 73¢, equal to 59% of the market’s 24h volume.
- Germany has already moved up 6 points this week, and this trade adds to that momentum.
$14,095 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Proven profitable wallet with a 76% win rate and $569k lifetime profit is buying Germany Yes at 71% while showing a long-running cross-market betting pattern.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $569k lifetime.
- They have traded across 83 events and 130 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Buying at 71¢ implies confidence Germany’s true chance is meaningfully above the current market price.
$2,423 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Proven profitable wallet with a 76% win rate and $569k lifetime profit is buying Germany Yes at 71% while showing a long-running cross-market betting pattern.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $569k lifetime.
- They have traded across 83 events and 130 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Buying at 71¢ implies confidence Germany’s true chance is meaningfully above the current market price.
$2,548 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 65% record over nearly 2,000 resolved bets is buying Germany NO at 33¢.
- This bettor has won 65% of nearly 2,000 resolved bets and is up $2.54M lifetime.
- They have traded across 172 events with over $1.55M flagged in cross-market activity, suggesting a repeatable research process.
- Entry at 33¢ implies a roughly 3x payout if Germany does not win Group E.
$1,611 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable serial event trader
A highly experienced cross-market trader with a large profitable history bought Germany Yes at 68%, though the individual bet is modest and far from resolution.
- This bettor has traded 845 markets across 777 events and is up $112K lifetime.
- They win 67% of resolved bets over a very large 1,546-bet sample.
- Entry at 68¢ suggests they see Germany as underpriced to win the group.
$1,849 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%
Elite 88% winner fades favorite
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 88% win rate and $608k lifetime profit bought Germany not to win Group E at 33¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $608k lifetime.
- They have traded 159 events with the same strong 88% hit rate, suggesting repeatable edge.
- Buying No at 33¢ fades a 68% favorite, implying they see Germany as overpriced.
$1,056 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 40475864, $86,523
- 0xe542...0a37 — Outcome 40475864, $42,770 (63% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Outcome 40475864, $42,047 (85% win rate)
- 0x1117...3532 — Outcome 40475864, $31,000 (66% win rate)
- 0xfd97...0ec5 — Outcome 40475864, $12,743 (64% win rate)
- 0x6a32...0086 — Outcome 40475864, $11,500 (83% win rate)
- 0x5c30...0f2a — Outcome 40475864, $11,000
- 0x93a0...74de — Outcome 40475864, $10,000 (49% win rate)
- 0xda3a...381f — Outcome 40475864, $7,500 (57% win rate)
- 0xee67...67a6 — Outcome 40475864, $6,921
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