Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,500.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly

Notable Trades

Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?

A proven sharp wallet with an 83% win rate and strong edge is taking the underdog side, buying No on Germany at 16¢ in a liquid market.

This bettor wins 83% of their trades and is up about $151k across 163 resolved markets
They bought No at 16¢, a cheap underdog price that implies they see Germany as overrated
The market is liquid with a 1¢ spread, so this looks like a deliberate value bet rather than noise

$3,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate and $140k profit is adding a straightforward favorite in a liquid sports market, making this worth following despite only one signal.

This bettor wins 79% of their resolved trades and is up $140k across 833 settled bets
They have traded 754 markets across 704 events, suggesting a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt
Bought Germany at 85¢, a high-confidence favorite price in a deep market with over $220k of 24h volume

$4,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

0x4108...9e22 — Outcome 33415317, $23,125 (82% win rate)
0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 33415317, $22,742 (65% win rate)
0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 33415317, $18,301 (64% win rate)
0xb5b7...7ffa — Outcome 33415317, $17,656 (86% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 33415317, $7,367
0x35c8...90cb — Outcome 33415317, $5,981 (79% win rate)
0x1455...e5cd — Outcome 33415317, $4,689 (83% win rate)
0x203b...acd1 — Outcome 33415317, $4,678
0x9ef1...cea5 — Outcome 33415317, $2,370
0xd6a3...9489 — Outcome 33415317, $2,242 (76% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?

ResolvedGermany vs. Ghana$7,500 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFifa Friendly

In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 30, 2026 If Germany wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.