Part of: Germany vs. Paraguay
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $923,813.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
96% winner in Yes cluster
A highly profitable 96% win-rate sports wallet bought Germany Yes alongside strong one-sided coordinated flow from 39 wallets.
- This bettor has won 22 of 23 resolved trades and is up $6,059 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 50 events with a 96% hit rate.
- 39 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $159,418 in Yes flow.
$11,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
92% winner with 39-wallet push
High-score alert combining a 92% winning wallet, serial cross-market history, and a 39-wallet one-sided Yes push despite the market moving against the entry.
- This bettor has won 92% of 37 resolved bets and is profitable lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 26 events with the same 92% hit rate.
- 39 wallets bought Yes in the same window for $159k, and the current 42¢ price is below this bettor’s 60¢ entry.
$1,361 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
39-wallet Yes cluster
High-conviction one-sided flow: 39 wallets bought Germany Yes for $159K, including a repeat new wallet already up $8K despite the market moving against the entry.
- 39 wallets are buying the same side, totaling $159K on Germany Yes.
- This new wallet has been flagged 5 times and is already up $8K on $19K invested.
- The market has fallen from this 57¢ entry to 42¢, making this a contrarian copy-trade signal.
$1,036 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 57%
Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp serial cross-market sports bettor with an 80% resolved win rate and +$94k P&L bought $15k of Germany Yes at 74¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $94k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.22M deployed across 38 events.
- A $15k buy at 74¢ shows fresh confidence despite an already liquid market.
$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
39-wallet sharp Yes cluster
Surface: a 39-wallet linked cluster put $159k on Germany Yes, with multiple proven high-win-rate sports/event traders participating despite noisy two-sided flow.
- 39 wallets bought the same side for $159k, including linked wallets funded from the same sources.
- Several participating bettors have strong records, including one at 95% over 279 resolved positions and another at 100% over 45.
- This market saw a 25.7x pre-event volume spike, and early Yes buyers entered around 39–40¢ before the price moved to 54¢.
$159,426 on Yes
Sharp bettor joins No wave
Sharp 83% lifetime bettor bought No alongside a large 36-wallet one-sided move and major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $57,634 lifetime.
- 36 wallets are all buying No, totaling $373,071 on the same side.
- Market volume is 37x above normal, and this bettor entered No at 61¢ before it moved to 64¢.
$1,830 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%
89% win-rate sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with an 89% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Germany Yes at 73¢.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $9.6K lifetime.
- They have traded 26 related sports events with the same 89% hit rate.
- Entry at 73¢ suggests they still see value despite Germany already being favored.
$1,230 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
89% sharp joins Yes wave
A highly profitable 89% win-rate bettor bought Germany Yes, aligned with a large 29-wallet one-sided wave despite a sharp price drop.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.54M lifetime.
- They have traded 280 events with the same 89% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- 29 wallets are buying the same side, with $160K flowing into Yes after a 34-point price drop.
$10,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
29-wallet one-way cluster
High-scoring coordinated flow: 29 wallets bought the same side for about $160k, including a 4-wallet funded cluster, despite the market being down sharply today.
- 29 wallets are all buying the same outcome, totaling about $160k in one-way flow.
- 4 wallets share the same funder, suggesting a coordinated bettor adding to the same thesis.
- The entry around 44¢ comes after a sharp 34-point daily price drop, making this a notable dip-buying move.
$1,403 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%
98% win-rate sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Germany Yes despite a very liquid market.
- This bettor has won 51 of 52 resolved trades and is up $20,792 lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 53 events with a 98% hit rate.
- Germany Yes saw a 67x volume spike, and this bettor entered at 72¢.
$2,498 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 51735326, $5,395,848
- 0x2643...39ae — Outcome 10595564, $405,541 (62% win rate)
- 0x03e8...1697 — Outcome 10595564, $394,814 (58% win rate)
- 0xa6cd...2f2c — Outcome 10595564, $211,989 (100% win rate)
- 0x4d4f...e5f3 — Outcome 10595564, $207,442 (77% win rate)
- 0x7a2c...a414 — Outcome 10595564, $191,206
- 0x8fbb...9a17 — Outcome 10595564, $176,713 (54% win rate)
- 0xcd30...f316 — Outcome 10595564, $176,009 (100% win rate)
- 0x788d...cab1 — Outcome 10595564, $150,000
- 0xe9eb...bdc3 — Outcome 10595564, $133,760
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