Part of: Germany vs. Paraguay
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 29, 2026 If Germany wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $923,813.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
96% winner in Yes cluster
A highly profitable 96% win-rate sports wallet bought Germany Yes alongside strong one-sided coordinated flow from 39 wallets.
- This bettor has won 22 of 23 resolved trades and is up $6,059 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 50 events with a 96% hit rate.
- 39 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $159,418 in Yes flow.
$11,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
92% winner with 39-wallet push
High-score alert combining a 92% winning wallet, serial cross-market history, and a 39-wallet one-sided Yes push despite the market moving against the entry.
- This bettor has won 92% of 37 resolved bets and is profitable lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 26 events with the same 92% hit rate.
- 39 wallets bought Yes in the same window for $159k, and the current 42¢ price is below this bettor’s 60¢ entry.
$1,361 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
39-wallet Yes cluster
High-conviction one-sided flow: 39 wallets bought Germany Yes for $159K, including a repeat new wallet already up $8K despite the market moving against the entry.
- 39 wallets are buying the same side, totaling $159K on Germany Yes.
- This new wallet has been flagged 5 times and is already up $8K on $19K invested.
- The market has fallen from this 57¢ entry to 42¢, making this a contrarian copy-trade signal.
$1,036 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 57%
Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp serial cross-market sports bettor with an 80% resolved win rate and +$94k P&L bought $15k of Germany Yes at 74¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $94k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.22M deployed across 38 events.
- A $15k buy at 74¢ shows fresh confidence despite an already liquid market.
$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 45%
39-wallet sharp Yes cluster
Surface: a 39-wallet linked cluster put $159k on Germany Yes, with multiple proven high-win-rate sports/event traders participating despite noisy two-sided flow.
- 39 wallets bought the same side for $159k, including linked wallets funded from the same sources.
- Several participating bettors have strong records, including one at 95% over 279 resolved positions and another at 100% over 45.
- This market saw a 25.7x pre-event volume spike, and early Yes buyers entered around 39–40¢ before the price moved to 54¢.
$159,426 on Yes
Sharp bettor joins No wave
Sharp 83% lifetime bettor bought No alongside a large 36-wallet one-sided move and major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $57,634 lifetime.
- 36 wallets are all buying No, totaling $373,071 on the same side.
- Market volume is 37x above normal, and this bettor entered No at 61¢ before it moved to 64¢.
$1,830 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
89% sharp joins Yes wave
A highly profitable 89% win-rate bettor bought Germany Yes, aligned with a large 29-wallet one-sided wave despite a sharp price drop.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.54M lifetime.
- They have traded 280 events with the same 89% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- 29 wallets are buying the same side, with $160K flowing into Yes after a 34-point price drop.
$10,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
89% win-rate sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with an 89% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Germany Yes at 73¢.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $9.6K lifetime.
- They have traded 26 related sports events with the same 89% hit rate.
- Entry at 73¢ suggests they still see value despite Germany already being favored.
$1,230 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 61%
29-wallet one-way cluster
High-scoring coordinated flow: 29 wallets bought the same side for about $160k, including a 4-wallet funded cluster, despite the market being down sharply today.
- 29 wallets are all buying the same outcome, totaling about $160k in one-way flow.
- 4 wallets share the same funder, suggesting a coordinated bettor adding to the same thesis.
- The entry around 44¢ comes after a sharp 34-point daily price drop, making this a notable dip-buying move.
$1,403 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
98% win-rate sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Germany Yes despite a very liquid market.
- This bettor has won 51 of 52 resolved trades and is up $20,792 lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 53 events with a 98% hit rate.
- Germany Yes saw a 67x volume spike, and this bettor entered at 72¢.
$2,498 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $5,395,848
- 0x2643...39ae — Yes, $405,541 (64% win rate)
- 0x03e8...1697 — Yes, $394,814 (58% win rate)
- 0x4d4f...e5f3 — Yes, $207,442 (90% win rate)
- 0x7a2c...a414 — Yes, $191,206
- 0xcd30...f316 — Yes, $176,009 (94% win rate)
- 0x788d...cab1 — Yes, $150,000
- 0xe9eb...bdc3 — Yes, $133,760
- 0x9e83...6edb — Yes, $130,491
- 0x5718...d232 — Yes, $120,000
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