This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $69k lifetime. They have traded across 740 events, suggesting a broad repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet. Bought $3.8k of No at 88¢ as the market moved strongly against a DR Congo win.

Part of: DR Congo vs. Chile

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,016.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly

Notable Trades

83% winner buying No

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 83% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $3.8k of No as the market moved sharply that way.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $69k lifetime.
They have traded across 740 events, suggesting a broad repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
Bought $3.8k of No at 88¢ as the market moved strongly against a DR Congo win.

$3,761 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

80% winner buying Yes

Sharp sports bettor with an 80% record and positive lifetime P&L is buying DR Congo Yes at 42¢.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $12.5K lifetime.
Their wins came at average odds around 44%, suggesting real edge rather than just backing favorites.
Entry at 42¢ implies they see DR Congo as a ~2.4x opportunity.

$1,507 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

19-wallet funded cluster

High-severity funded-wallet cluster signal plus a profitable 137-bet wallet effectively buying Yes at 41¢ on a moderately quiet sports market.

This wallet is part of a 19-wallet group funded by the same address, suggesting coordinated conviction.
The bettor has won 100 of 137 resolved bets and is up $11,759 lifetime.
Selling No at 59¢ is equivalent to buying DR Congo Yes at 41¢, slightly above the current market price.

$1,025 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Large thin-market sports bet

A single wallet made a $4.3k equivalent BUY Yes bet in an extremely thin soccer market, large relative to available liquidity despite no proven wallet history.

A $4.3k bet hit a market with only about $230 of liquidity, showing unusually strong conviction.
The trade is effectively backing DR Congo to win at 50¢, near an even-money price.
The order book is very thin and wide, so this is mainly notable as a conviction bet rather than a proven sharp wallet.

$4,276 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 22%

Quiet-market No buyer

A single unproven wallet made a $4.4k No bet in an extremely illiquid DR Congo market, making the size-versus-liquidity imbalance the main signal.

A bettor put $4.4k on No in a market with only $229 of liquidity.
The market had $0 volume in the last 24 hours, so this is a unusually large fresh position.
Entry at 52¢ implies they see No as slightly mispriced despite the very thin order book.

$4,447 on No | Wallet win rate: 22%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 24887456, $19,195
0xc0f8...ae2e — Outcome 79217862, $9,106 (71% win rate)
0xf924...a0cc — Outcome 79217862, $3,567 (82% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 79217862, $2,728 (63% win rate)
0x8dee...412b — Outcome 79217862, $1,914 (96% win rate)
0x3709...bb80 — Outcome 79217862, $1,470
0x21a3...9e97 — Outcome 79217862, $1,310
0x3d7d...10fc — Outcome 79217862, $1,088 (51% win rate)
0x55ab...4f88 — Outcome 79217862, $1,069 (50% win rate)
0x6945...729c — Outcome 79217862, $1,000 (96% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

France will defeat England

Covers 1 related market

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09?

ResolvedDR Congo vs. Chile$15,016 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFifa Friendly

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 9, 2026 If DR Congo wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.