Part of: What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?

This prediction market asks whether the official CME settlement price for front-month Gold (GC) futures will be at or above $4,800 on any trading day through the final trading day of June 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $3,000 in smart money activity across 1 signal, with a recent alert highlighting a cross-market gold “No” bettor. The market resolves on June 30, 2026, based on CME Gold futures settlement prices.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price on any trading day between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,000.

Categories: COMEX Gold Futures, Commodities, Finance, Gold

Notable Trades

Cross-market gold No bettor

A modestly profitable but not highly sharp wallet made a large, cross-market No bet on a very thin gold market, moving price materially.

  • This wallet is taking a strong No view, with $19.8k spread across 4 related gold markets.
  • The $3k bet is large for this market, equal to about 2.5x the last 24h volume and bigger than displayed liquidity.
  • No jumped sharply after the flow, suggesting this trade helped reprice a thin market.

$3,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 51%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf66f...8e0c No, $1,365 (51% win rate)
  2. 0xe9f2...d642 Yes, $517
  3. 0x8768...dd9b No, $494 (84% win rate)
  4. 0x576f...5254 Yes, $460
  5. 0x6f02...0b2e Yes, $400
  6. 0x8b56...62a7 Yes, $359
  7. 0xa8b3...4484 No, $344 (58% win rate)
  8. 0x01ff...3c75 Yes, $234
  9. 0x4181...1e46 No, $225
  10. 0x0a6d...1d0a Yes, $160

Related Theses

Gold stays below 4800

Covers 4 related markets

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?

30dWhat will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?$3,000 tracked1 signalCOMEX Gold FuturesCommoditiesHide From NewFinanceGold
Yes
26¢
No
74¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price on any trading day between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.

Price History — “No
89¢
63¢
37¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?

3h ago

$3,000 on No at 81¢

81¢74¢7¢

Related Theses