Part of: What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?
This Polymarket market asks whether Gold (XAUUSD) will reach a 1-minute candle high of $4,800 or more at any point during May 2026. It resolves after the May trading period, with prices checked against Pyth-listed trading sessions and final resolution scheduled for June 1, 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $2,402 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal, including an alert tied to an 87% win-rate gold trader.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session as listed on Pyth will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,402.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Gold, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
87% win-rate gold trader
Sharp cross-market gold bettor with an 87% win rate and $176k profit traded both sides, but the most recent/mark-to-market profitable position is No at 45¢ versus 64¢ current odds.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $176k lifetime.
- They are active across 4 related gold markets with $12.6k positioned, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Their No buy at 45¢ has already moved to 64¢, while market volume is thin at only $3.4k in 24h.
$2,402 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0x4060...3ec3 — No, $2,554 (87% win rate)
- 0x2f63...f247 — No, $2,347 (86% win rate)
- 0x46f1...701f — Yes, $2,000 (42% win rate)
- 0xc8ab...6418 — Yes, $1,858 (47% win rate)
- 0xa8b3...4484 — No, $1,644 (58% win rate)
- 0xf189...8e47 — No, $1,069 (57% win rate)
- 0xa540...0b43 — Yes, $1,065 (41% win rate)
- 0x4652...6863 — No, $863
- 0xc786...f62e — Yes, $616
- 0x1137...4ed5 — Yes, $522
Related Theses
WTI stays below 105 in May
Covers 6 related markets
Natural gas drops below $2.60
Covers 2 related markets
