Part of: What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?

This Polymarket prediction market asks whether Gold (XAUUSD) will reach a 1-minute candle high of at least $4,850 at any point during May 2026. The market resolves after the May trading period, with the listed resolution date of June 1, 2026, based on eligible Pyth XAUUSD prices during official trading sessions. PolySpotter currently tracks $6,089 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market, including an alert from an 87% win-rate serial trader.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session as listed on Pyth will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,089.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Gold, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50

Notable Trades

87% win serial trader

A highly proven serial cross-market trader with an 87% win rate and $174k lifetime profit bought No on the gold high target, making the trade worth surfacing despite only modest market-level activity signals.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $174,588 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 157 events and nearly $5M in flagged volume.
  • They bought No at 54¢, fading a gold target market that has already drifted down about 4% today.

$6,089 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4060...3ec3 No, $11,312 (87% win rate)
  2. 0xdbf1...86b5 Yes, $10,289 (49% win rate)
  3. 0xc8ab...6418 Yes, $2,251 (47% win rate)
  4. 0x2f63...f247 No, $2,012 (86% win rate)
  5. 0xa8b3...4484 No, $1,061 (58% win rate)
  6. 0xa540...0b43 Yes, $858 (41% win rate)
  7. 0xcd25...f900 Yes, $701
  8. 0xfab0...bd9c No, $270
  9. 0x5a21...9318 No, $147
  10. 0x782f...bda7 No, $140

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Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?

17dWhat will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?$6,089 tracked1 signalFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceCommoditiesGoldRewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50
Yes
17¢
No
84¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session as listed on Pyth will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Price History — “No
85¢
59¢
32¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?

2h ago

$6,089 on No at 54¢

54¢84¢30¢

Related Theses