Part of: What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 in May?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,069.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Gold, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50

Notable Trades

88% win-rate macro bettor

A highly proven cross-market trader with an 88% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes on a relatively thin gold market.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $171K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $4.8M deployed across 239 markets.
  • Bought Yes at 60¢ in a thin market with a 7¢ spread, and the price has already moved to 64¢.

$1,007 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

88% cross-market sharp

Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 88% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought a sizable Yes position in a relatively thin gold market.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $168,907 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 153 events and $4.8M in tracked volume.
  • The $3,062 buy is large for this market, with only $6,720 traded in the past day and a wide spread.

$3,062 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0x53c4...740b Outcome 47585188, $5,000 (82% win rate)
  2. 0x64d9...46e6 Outcome 47585188, $3,098 (62% win rate)
  3. 0x81a6...762e Outcome 47585188, $2,000
  4. 0x63fc...f9a5 Outcome 47585188, $100
  5. 0xa743...61dc Outcome 47585188, $89
  6. 0xe60a...a633 Outcome 47585188, $48
  7. 0x89ba...1c17 Outcome 47585188, $30
  8. 0x52fd...2ab7 Outcome 47585188, $25
  9. 0x50b1...988c Outcome 47585188, $14
  10. 0x9f70...c229 Outcome 47585188, $10

Related Theses

WTI rises, stops below $100

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 10 related markets

WTI rallies but stays below $110

Covers 8 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Natural gas whipsaws in May

Covers 4 related markets

WTI trades between $80 and $100

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 in May?

ResolvedWhat will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?$4,069 tracked2 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceCommoditiesGoldRewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session as listed on Pyth will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Notable Trades

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 in May?

70d ago

$1,007 on Yes at 60¢

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 in May?

71d ago

$3,062 on Yes at 57¢

Related Theses