Part of: Greece vs. Netherlands
Will Greece win on 2026-10-01?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 1, 2026 If Greece wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $57,343.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UEFA Nations League, UNL Matchday
Notable Trades
Serial cross-market winner backs Yes
A consistently profitable serial cross-market trader sold No at 19¢, equivalent to buying Yes at 81¢, alongside a major price rise and volume spike.
- This bettor has won 90% of 293 resolved trades and earned $168K overall.
- They sold No at 19¢, equivalent to buying Yes at 81¢; Yes odds have risen 53% in a day.
- Market volume is 17.7 times its historical average, though the spike reflects only three trades.
$6,729 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
Three-wallet cluster with a proven sharp
Three wallets bought $11,775 of Yes during a 15x volume spike and 31-point price rise, including a bettor with a 91% win rate across 2,058 resolved bets.
- Three wallets put $11,775 behind Greece, while Yes rose 31 percentage points.
- One buyer has won 91% of 2,058 resolved bets and is up $186,256.
- The buying came amid a 15x volume spike; the latest trade was at 80¢.
$16,376 on Yes
Three profitable wallets buying No
Three established profitable wallets bought No within minutes, though the modest cluster and one wallet’s large existing Yes position temper the signal.
- Three wallets bought No within about two minutes, totaling $4,199.
- All three have positive lifetime P&L, including one up about $775,000.
- One buyer already holds a much larger Yes position, so this may partly be a hedge.
$4,199 on No
Profitable 88% winner adding to Yes
A proven 88%-winner with substantial profits is adding to an existing Greece-win position at 31¢.
- This bettor has won 78 of 89 resolved bets and is up $81,674.
- They added $3,000 to an existing Greece-win position at 31¢.
- They have traded across 40 events, with an 88% win rate across their resolved bets.
$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
90% winner scaling into No
A highly profitable 90%-win-rate trader added $25.8K to an existing No position amid a 132.6x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 90% of 293 resolved bets and is up $168K lifetime.
- They added $25.8K to an existing No position already worth about $36K.
- The trade coincided with a 132.6x spike in market volume versus its historical average.
$25,802 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly active, substantially profitable trader with a strong long-term record placed a meaningful No position in a relatively quiet market.
- This bettor is up $8.2M across more than 34,000 resolved bets, with a 66% win rate.
- The $1,237 No bet accounts for a large share of recent market volume.
- The position was entered at 71¢, close to the market's current 71% No price.
$1,237 on No | Wallet win rate: 69%
Top Holders
- 0xb00c...4a39 — Yes, $40,238 (82% win rate)
- 0x4408...1b6a — Yes, $12,000 (59% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $5,826
- 0x5fc7...443f — Yes, $5,624 (85% win rate)
- 0x5016...1eeb — Yes, $3,697 (76% win rate)
- 0x224f...514a — Yes, $3,100 (84% win rate)
- 0xeb34...7268 — Yes, $3,000 (2% win rate)
- 0x0011...4333 — Yes, $2,182 (86% win rate)
- 0xc58b...ff58 — Yes, $2,121 (71% win rate)
- 0x3761...203c — Yes, $2,031 (85% win rate)
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