What has to happen for this GTA 6 price market to resolve Yes?

The market resolves Yes if the standard edition of GTA 6 is listed at $100.00 or more before tax in USD on the first official release day in the United States.

Which GTA 6 edition counts for this prediction market?

Only the standard edition counts. Deluxe, collector's, or special editions do not determine the result of this market.

Which stores decide the official GTA 6 launch price?

Resolution is based on the US Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store listing on the first official day of release. If the two stores show different prices, the higher listed standard-edition price is used.

When does the GTA 6 $100+ market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve by February 28, 2027, once the official launch pricing needed for settlement is available under the market rules.

Why are traders watching whether GTA 6 costs $100?

This market reflects debate over whether major publishers will push AAA game pricing to a new level. Traders are using it to speculate on if GTA 6 becomes the first blockbuster standard edition to launch at $100 or more.

Part of: Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

This Polymarket asks whether the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI will launch at a pre-tax price of $100.00 or more in the US. The market resolves using the first official US release-day standard edition price listed on the Xbox or PlayStation store, with the higher listed price used if they differ. It is currently a niche market with limited smart money activity, including a recent alert noting a bettor buying cheap Yes shares, and it is set to resolve by February 28, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States. If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price. This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc. If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,030.

Categories: Culture, Games, GTA VI

Notable Trades

Serial bettor buying cheap Yes

A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a strong 71% hit rate made a relatively large trade versus recent market activity, taking the Yes side synthetically at 18¢ in a still-thin entertainment market.

This wallet has bet across 557 events and wins 71% of resolved trades over 812 decisions.
The trade was large for this market, equal to about 130% of the prior 24-hour volume.
Selling No at 82¢ is the same as buying Yes at 18¢, a low-price bet on a big pricing mistake.

$1,030 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%