Part of: Caracas FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe

Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-07-30?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,647.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Copa Sudamericana

Notable Trades

Sharp bettors scale into Santa Fe Yes

Three bettors added $7,208 to Yes at 40¢, including two highly profitable traders with 91%-96% win rates, in a market with only $731 of 24-hour volume.

Two wallets win 91% and 96% of their bets across more than 1,000 combined resolved positions, with entries well below their average winning prices.
Three wallets added $7,208 to Yes at 40¢—nearly 10 times the market’s 24-hour volume—while already holding positions at the same price.
The coordinated buying goes against a 6% weekly price decline, suggesting conviction that the 40% implied probability is too low.

$7,208 on Yes

Perfect-record bettor scales into No

A proven bettor with a 100% record and substantial existing No position added $10.7K to No at 60 cents, signaling increased conviction despite limited market activity.

This bettor has won 10 of 10 resolved trades and is up $308,513 overall.
They added $10,679 to No while already holding $52,820 in the same position.
The $10,679 purchase was more than 14 times the market’s reported 24-hour volume, highlighting unusually strong conviction.

$10,679 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Perfect-record bettor adds to No

A highly profitable 10-0 bettor added $8,032 to an existing No position in an unusually quiet soccer market, creating a strong but not new-position signal.

This bettor has won 10 of 10 resolved trades and is up $308,513 overall.
They added $8,032 to No while already holding $30,000, showing continued conviction on Santa Fe failing to win.
The trade was over 11 times the market’s 24-hour volume, making it a notable move in a thinly traded market.

$8,032 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Extreme volume spike on Santa Fe Yes

A large fresh Yes bet coincides with an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the wallet’s broad track record is not especially sharp.

A $1,728 Yes bet at 40¢ is substantial versus the market’s $731 in 24-hour volume.
Trading activity was 27,099 times the recent average across four trades, suggesting a sudden burst of interest.
The wallet has a large history and $6.8M lifetime profit, but its 55% win rate does not clearly show an edge at these prices.

$1,728 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 55%

Top Holders

0x7ad7...42aa — Outcome 23211020, $52,820 (100% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 23211020, $1,686 (63% win rate)
0x2ad5...62ff — Outcome 23211020, $1,327
0xe6bf...16b9 — Outcome 23211020, $340 (91% win rate)
0x8f28...ff9a — Outcome 23211020, $273 (99% win rate)
0x0d1c...3347 — Outcome 23211020, $250 (61% win rate)
0xd443...5f71 — Outcome 23211020, $54
0x819a...4b03 — Outcome 23211020, $42
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 23211020, $37
0x5998...b5a8 — Outcome 23211020, $33

Related Theses

Algeria Austria stays low-scoring

Covers 6 related markets

Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-07-30?

ResolvedCaracas FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe$27,647 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerCopa Sudamericana

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 30, 2026 If Independiente Santa Fe wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No”

69¢

61¢

53¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction