Part of: Innio IPO Closing Market Cap

Will Innio's market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day?

This prediction market asks whether Innio’s market capitalization will be between $17 billion and $20 billion at the official market close on its first day of trading. The IPO is currently scheduled for June 4, 2026, and the market resolves based on closing price and outstanding shares; if no IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, it resolves to “No IPO before August 2026.” PolySpotter is tracking $1,479 in smart money activity across 1 signal for this market.

This market will resolve based on Innio's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,479.

Categories: rewards 200, 4.5, 20, Finance, IPOs, Business, natural gas, IPO

Notable Trades

87% winner on thin IPO market

Sharp wallet with an 87% resolved win record and positive P&L bought No on a thin IPO market with a trade larger than the past day’s volume.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $4.6K lifetime.
  • Their $1.5K No buy was bigger than the market’s entire 24h volume.
  • Entry at 74¢ implies they see the $17B–$20B IPO cap range as unlikely.

$1,479 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7650...fac1 — No, $1,998 (87% win rate)
  2. 0x4388...5050 — Yes, $906 (54% win rate)
  3. 0x8454...331a — Yes, $700 (92% win rate)
  4. 0x6f67...102c — Yes, $337
  5. 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $187
  6. 0xef2a...a4a4 — Yes, $101
  7. 0x51f2...38ef — No, $61
  8. 0xc8ab...6418 — Yes, $50 (47% win rate)
  9. 0xb032...c16c — Yes, $30
  10. 0xad53...ef24 — Yes, $28

Will Innio's market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day?

4dInnio IPO Closing Market Cap$1,479 tracked1 signalrewards 200, 4.5, 20FinanceIPOsBusinessnatural gasIPO
Yes
26¢
No
75¢

This market will resolve based on Innio's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled for June 4 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.

Price History — “No”
85¢
67¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Innio's market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day?

9h ago

$1,479 on No at 74¢

74¢→75¢↑1¢