This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $1,563 lifetime. They bought No at 87¢, and the market has already moved to 90¢. Volume is running 16.8x above its historical average before the match.

Part of: Egypt vs. IR Iran

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?

30 smart money signals detected, totaling $137,132.

Categories: Games, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Soccer

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable high-volume sports trader bought Iran No amid a 16.8x pre-event volume spike and related cross-market positioning.

This bettor is up $233k across 3,361 resolved bets with a 60% win rate.
They are positioning across 3 markets in the same event, with $23.9k total exposure.
Market activity is heating up, with volume running 16.8x above its historical average.

$6,075 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought No at 85¢ before a sharp move to 96¢, with the market rapidly repricing in their favor.

This bettor has a long record across 44 markets and is up about $61.8k lifetime.
They bought No at 85¢ before the market jumped to 96¢, suggesting they caught the move early.
The odds moved sharply in their favor within minutes, turning this into a strong short-term signal.

$1,057 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%

Coordinated long-shot buyers

Three wallets are making a coordinated long-shot Iran Yes bet with broader cross-market positioning, though the trade has moved against them and the wallets’ track records are mixed.

Three wallets put $9.3K on the same 6¢ long-shot outcome.
The flow is part of broader event positioning, with these wallets active across 3 related markets.
One participating wallet is up $94.9K lifetime, but the price has already moved against the group.

$9,348 on Yes

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable high-volume sports trader bought Iran No amid a 16.8x pre-event volume spike and related cross-market positioning.

This bettor is up $233k across 3,361 resolved bets with a 60% win rate.
They are positioning across 3 markets in the same event, with $23.9k total exposure.
Market activity is heating up, with volume running 16.8x above its historical average.

$6,075 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%

88% winner buying No

Sharp wallet with an 88% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying No amid a large pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $1,563 lifetime.
They bought No at 87¢, and the market has already moved to 90¢.
Volume is running 16.8x above its historical average before the match.

$1,179 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

70% winner buying NO

Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought No on Iran after a pre-event volume spike, with a strong 70% record across 2,540 resolved markets.

This bettor wins 70% of resolved trades and is up about $120k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 132 events with $1.39M total traded.
Bought No at 76¢, and the market has already moved to 78¢.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

New wallet backing No

A 1-day-old wallet with repeat flagged bets and early profits bought Iran No during a major pre-event volume spike, making it worth monitoring despite the liquid market.

This wallet is only 1 day old but has already placed 4 flagged bets totaling $7,938.
It is 2-for-2 so far with $910 profit on $5,646 invested.
Market volume is surging 54x above normal ahead of the match.

$2,055 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

99% serial bettor cluster

Surface due to a proven 99% winning serial cross-market bettor joining a 4-wallet same-direction Yes cluster, though the market has since moved sharply against some entries.

A bettor who wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $17k lifetime bought Yes here.
Four wallets all took the same side, putting $5.9k on a low-probability Yes outcome.
This is a contrarian buy at 4% current odds after Yes fell sharply over the last day.

$5,863 on Yes

New wallet backing No

A 1-day-old wallet with repeat flagged bets and early profits bought Iran No during a major pre-event volume spike, making it worth monitoring despite the liquid market.

This wallet is only 1 day old but has already placed 4 flagged bets totaling $7,938.
It is 2-for-2 so far with $910 profit on $5,646 invested.
Market volume is surging 54x above normal ahead of the match.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

20-for-20 sharp buying Yes

Sharp 20-for-20 wallet bought $15.5k of Iran Yes during a major pre-event volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the liquid market.

This bettor has won 20 of 20 resolved positions and is profitable lifetime.
They bought $15.5k of Yes at 29¢ as Iran odds moved up 5 points today.
Market volume is surging 650x above normal, suggesting broader pre-game momentum.

$1,538 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 58044090, $926,871
0xc430...1ebf — Outcome 34787355, $527,819 (100% win rate)
0x627f...f83a — Outcome 34787355, $100,000 (48% win rate)
0xf031...c80c — Outcome 34787355, $31,854 (91% win rate)
0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 34787355, $21,423
0x85bb...9ada — Outcome 34787355, $20,000 (81% win rate)
0x51ea...150f — Outcome 34787355, $20,000 (41% win rate)
0x1d7f...a878 — Outcome 34787355, $14,587 (36% win rate)
0x479b...cdb1 — Outcome 34787355, $14,400 (84% win rate)
0xbcfb...efc0 — Outcome 34787355, $10,714 (38% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?

ResolvedEgypt vs. IR Iran$137,132 tracked30 signalsGamesFIFA World CupSportsSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 26, 2026 If IR Iran wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No”