Part of: World Cup Group G Winner
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This prediction market asks whether Iran will finish first in Group G during the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11–27, 2026. PolySpotter tracks the live Polymarket odds plus smart money activity, including $2,050 tracked and 1 smart money signal for this market. The market resolves based on the official FIFA Group G winner, including FIFA tiebreak rules if teams are level.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,784.
Categories: Sports, Soccer, world cup, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 67% resolved win rate is taking a fresh 13¢ longshot position on Iran to win the group.
- This bettor has won 67% of 160 resolved trades and is up $132k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 29 events, suggesting a repeat sports thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 13¢ implies they see Iran as a meaningful long-shot value.
$2,050 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Iran Yes at 12¢ on a relatively quiet World Cup futures market.
- This bettor is up $132k across 160 resolved markets, despite a high-volume betting history.
- They have traded across 27 related events, suggesting a repeatable sports futures strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 12¢ is a long-shot position with limited market movement so far.
$1,734 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0x5cae...a00a — Yes, $31,482 (67% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — No, $15,000 (87% win rate)
- 0x8fba...d08a — Yes, $8,466 (51% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $8,327
- 0xb619...5068 — No, $5,900 (50% win rate)
- 0x7236...ea53 — No, $3,200 (88% win rate)
- 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $2,787 (47% win rate)
- 0x0dc5...a303 — Yes, $2,635 (59% win rate)
- 0x7e33...1482 — Yes, $2,624 (46% win rate)
- 0x6a32...0086 — No, $2,618 (79% win rate)
Related Theses
Iran wins Group G
Covers 1 related market
LYON upsets Cloud9
Covers 1 related market
Red Sox beat Yankees
Covers 1 related market
Team Vitality beats FUT
Covers 1 related market
Jordan reaches knockout stage
Covers 1 related market
