Part of: World Cup Group G Winner

Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This prediction market asks whether Iran will finish first in Group G during the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11–27, 2026. PolySpotter tracks the live Polymarket odds plus smart money activity, including $2,050 tracked and 1 smart money signal for this market. The market resolves based on the official FIFA Group G winner, including FIFA tiebreak rules if teams are level.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,784.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, world cup, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 67% resolved win rate is taking a fresh 13¢ longshot position on Iran to win the group.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 160 resolved trades and is up $132k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 29 events, suggesting a repeat sports thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 13¢ implies they see Iran as a meaningful long-shot value.

$2,050 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Iran Yes at 12¢ on a relatively quiet World Cup futures market.

  • This bettor is up $132k across 160 resolved markets, despite a high-volume betting history.
  • They have traded across 27 related events, suggesting a repeatable sports futures strategy rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 12¢ is a long-shot position with limited market movement so far.

$1,734 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5cae...a00a Yes, $31,482 (67% win rate)
  2. 0x1341...0853 No, $15,000 (87% win rate)
  3. 0x8fba...d08a Yes, $8,466 (51% win rate)
  4. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $8,327
  5. 0xb619...5068 No, $5,900 (50% win rate)
  6. 0x7236...ea53 No, $3,200 (88% win rate)
  7. 0xc8ab...6418 No, $2,787 (47% win rate)
  8. 0x0dc5...a303 Yes, $2,635 (59% win rate)
  9. 0x7e33...1482 Yes, $2,624 (46% win rate)
  10. 0x6a32...0086 No, $2,618 (79% win rate)

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Iran wins Group G

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Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

15dWorld Cup Group G Winner$3,784 tracked2 signalsSportsSoccerworld cupFIFA World Cup
Yes
13¢
No
87¢

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No
91¢
89¢
86¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

21m ago

$2,050 on Yes at 13¢

13¢13¢

Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

1h ago

$1,734 on Yes at 12¢

12¢13¢1¢

Related Theses