Part of: World Cup: Group I Last Place

Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

This prediction market asks whether Iraq will finish last in Group I during the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11–27, 2026. The market resolves based on FIFA’s official Group I standings and tiebreakers, with final resolution expected by July 20, 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $4,200 in smart money activity from 1 signal for this market.

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,200.

Categories: Soccer, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, world cup, FIFA World Cup, Group Futures

Notable Trades

Profitable 458-bet bettor

Despite only a weak low-activity signal, the bettor has a large profitable track record and made a $4.2k buy that was nearly 2x recent volume in a thin World Cup group market.

  • This bettor has won 87% of 458 resolved bets and is up $10.5k lifetime.
  • The $4.2k buy was nearly 2x the market’s recent 24h volume, showing real conviction in a relatively thin market.
  • Entry at 84¢ means they are backing Iraq as a strong favorite to finish last.

$4,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0026...aef7 — Yes, $5,611 (87% win rate)
  2. 0x1341...0853 — No, $5,345 (87% win rate)
  3. 0x41f0...3eeb — No, $3,378
  4. 0x8753...85ad — Yes, $2,000 (64% win rate)
  5. 0xbdde...c019 — Yes, $1,280 (87% win rate)
  6. 0x8616...c877 — Yes, $1,000
  7. 0x91d7...0dfc — No, $982 (78% win rate)
  8. 0x85b9...906d — No, $500 (48% win rate)
  9. 0x32d0...6070 — No, $472
  10. 0xff6f...448f — Yes, $350

Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

37d World Cup: Group I Last Place$4,200 tracked1 signalSoccerSports2026 FIFA World Cupworld cupFIFA World CupGroup Futures
Yes
84¢
No
17¢

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes”
85¢
77¢
68¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

1h ago

$4,200 on Yes at 84¢

84¢→84¢