Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,522.

Categories: Soccer, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, world cup, FIFA World Cup, Group Futures

Notable Trades

Active winner in thin market

Experienced cross-market trader with positive lifetime P&L placed a relatively large bet in a thin World Cup market, adding to recent upward momentum on Yes.

This bettor has 313 resolved trades, wins 61% of them, and is up about $61K lifetime.
The $4.3K buy was nearly 60% of the market’s 24-hour volume, a sizable move for this thin order book.
Yes has already moved up 10.5 points this week, and this trade backs that momentum at 90¢.

$4,322 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable 458-bet bettor

Despite only a weak low-activity signal, the bettor has a large profitable track record and made a $4.2k buy that was nearly 2x recent volume in a thin World Cup group market.

This bettor has won 87% of 458 resolved bets and is up $10.5k lifetime.
The $4.2k buy was nearly 2x the market’s recent 24h volume, showing real conviction in a relatively thin market.
Entry at 84¢ means they are backing Iraq as a strong favorite to finish last.

$4,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

0x1341...0853 — Outcome 20804909, $5,846 (85% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 20804909, $3,830
0x41f0...3eeb — Outcome 20804909, $3,378 (64% win rate)
0xc800...4117 — Outcome 20804909, $1,000 (55% win rate)
0x3329...43a6 — Outcome 20804909, $100
0x9a94...d5f9 — Outcome 20804909, $50
0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 20804909, $23 (70% win rate)
0x238f...3015 — Outcome 20804909, $23
0x89c4...abf3 — Outcome 20804909, $20
0xeab7...b389 — Outcome 20804909, $15

Related Theses

PSG or Atletico win Champions League

Covers 5 related markets

Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Resolved World Cup: Group I Last Place$8,522 tracked2 signalsSoccerSports2026 FIFA World Cupworld cupFIFA World CupGroup Futures

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.