Part of: Türkiye vs. Italy
Will Italy win on 2026-09-28?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 28, 2026 If Italy wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $85,059.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UEFA Nations League, UNL Matchday
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly active, profitable cross-market bettor with a 68% win rate and nearly $194K in profit is backing Italy at 38¢.
- This bettor has won 68% of 161 resolved bets and is up $194K.
- They are taking a $3,642 position on Italy at 38¢, with a history spanning 131 events.
- The market has moved up 12.5% over the past week, in the same direction as this bet.
$1,497 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
Winning bettor joins coordinated No buyers
Four wallets bought $46.4K of No amid a major volume spike, including a bettor with a 98% win rate and substantial profits.
- A bettor with a 98% win rate across 64 resolved positions and $642K in profit bought No at 63¢.
- Four wallets bought $46,448 of No, and market volume was 184× its historical average.
- The No position is priced around 62–63¢, with a tight 1¢ spread.
$41,329 on No
98% bettor building a two-sided position
A highly profitable bettor with a 98% record placed substantial buys on both sides, including Yes at 35¢; the paired entries may reflect deliberate hedging rather than a clear standalone directional bet.
- This bettor has won 63 of 64 resolved positions and is up $642,596.
- They bought Yes at 35¢ and No at 62¢ in the same market, with a prior No position also open.
- The paired entry prices total 97¢, suggesting a hedged position rather than a clear one-way prediction.
$29,194 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly active, profitable cross-market bettor with a 68% win rate and nearly $194K in profit is backing Italy at 38¢.
- This bettor has won 68% of 161 resolved bets and is up $194K.
- They are taking a $3,642 position on Italy at 38¢, with a history spanning 131 events.
- The market has moved up 12.5% over the past week, in the same direction as this bet.
$2,771 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
Sharp bettor adding to Italy position
A proven bettor with a strong record and substantial edge added $5,000 to an existing Italy-win position at 39¢.
- This bettor has won 78% of 58 resolved bets and is up $40,107.
- They added $5,000 to an existing Yes position at 39¢, while the market has recently moved up 12.5% over a week.
$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly active, profitable cross-market bettor with a 68% win rate and nearly $194K in profit is backing Italy at 38¢.
- This bettor has won 68% of 161 resolved bets and is up $194K.
- They are taking a $3,642 position on Italy at 38¢, with a history spanning 131 events.
- The market has moved up 12.5% over the past week, in the same direction as this bet.
$3,642 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
Proven 82% bettor buying No
A highly profitable bettor with an 82% record and extensive cross-market activity is buying No at a price close to current odds.
- This bettor has won 325 of 398 resolved bets and is up $141,532.
- A serial cross-market trader, this wallet has placed bets across 121 events and 132 markets.
- The wallet bought No at 65¢, near the current 64¢ odds, as the market has drifted down over the past week.
$1,625 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0x922c...d8ba — No, $210,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $100,809
- 0xb52e...285c — No, $47,883 (100% win rate)
- 0x2220...1a0f — No, $32,566 (62% win rate)
- 0xf031...c80c — No, $22,666 (89% win rate)
- 0x0e97...8ffa — No, $16,016 (48% win rate)
- 0x412f...30fa — No, $15,347 (40% win rate)
- 0x67bf...f983 — No, $12,500 (65% win rate)
- 0xec57...0fa7 — No, $8,165 (51% win rate)
- 0xd202...1ef5 — No, $7,067 (70% win rate)
Related Theses
Ngannou beats Lins
Covers 1 related market
Casper Ruud beats Safiullin
Covers 1 related market
Svajda Majchrzak goes long
Covers 1 related market
Halys Giron goes four sets
Covers 1 related market
PSG wins 2026 Champions League
Covers 1 related market
Mensik Dimitrov goes four sets
Covers 1 related market
Auger-Aliassime beats Altmaier
Covers 1 related market
Fery Virtanen goes four sets
Covers 1 related market
Safiullin-Fonseca goes long
Covers 1 related market
Arnaldi Collignon goes four sets
Covers 1 related market
