24 wallets put $138k on No around 55¢, and the price has already jumped to 88¢. Several repeat cross-market sports traders are involved, including wallets with 96–99% win records over 23–290 resolved positions. The market saw a 30x volume spike, suggesting a major pre-game repricing rather than routine activity.

Part of: Brazil vs. Japan

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

23 smart money signals detected, totaling $498,140.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp wallet in 13-wallet flow

Sharp profitable wallet bought Japan Yes alongside a large 13-wallet one-sided flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $442,780 lifetime.
13 wallets bought the same side, totaling $319,641 in Japan Yes exposure.
The trade entered at 46¢, but the market is now around 12¢, so the thesis has moved sharply against them.

$9,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

24-wallet No surge

A large 24-wallet cluster bought Japan No around 55¢ and the market has already moved to 88¢, with several high-performing serial sports traders also involved.

24 wallets put $138k on No around 55¢, and the price has already jumped to 88¢.
Several repeat cross-market sports traders are involved, including wallets with 96–99% win records over 23–290 resolved positions.
The market saw a 30x volume spike, suggesting a major pre-game repricing rather than routine activity.

$138,141 on No

97% winner joins Yes wave

Elite 97% winning bettor bought Japan Yes amid a major one-sided wave and heavy pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 34 of 35 resolved positions and is up $73.7K lifetime.
15 wallets are buying the same side, totaling $286K on Japan Yes.
They entered at 41¢ before the market moved to 46¢, with 24h volume spiking 29x above normal.

$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

Sharp serial trader with 15-wallet flow

Strong Yes setup: a profitable 76% win-rate serial cross-market trader is net buying alongside 15-wallet one-sided flow and a major volume/price surge.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $17.4K lifetime across 89 results.
15 wallets bought the same Yes side for $286K, showing broad one-way conviction.
Volume spiked up to 29x normal and Japan’s Yes price is up 27 points in the past day.

$5,341 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Sharp joins 15-wallet Yes wave

Sharp profitable wallet bought Japan Yes alongside a large 15-wallet one-sided move and major pre-game volume spike.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $23K lifetime.
15 wallets bought the same side, totaling $286K on Japan Yes.
They entered at 39¢ before the market moved to 46¢, with volume spiking 29x normal.

$1,133 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp cluster bought Yes early

Nine wallets, including multiple highly profitable sports bettors, bought Japan Yes around 18–22¢ ahead of a major move to 40¢ amid a 20x volume spike.

Several proven bettors joined the same side, including wallets with 100% and 89% records across 50 and 99 resolved positions.
Nine wallets put $56K on Japan Yes, mostly around 18–19¢, before the market moved to 40¢.
The market saw a 20.7x volume spike and Yes is up 21 points in the past day, confirming strong momentum.

$56,194 on Yes

Unbeaten serial sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a perfect 74-0 resolved record is adding $6.15k on Japan No despite the market being highly liquid.

This bettor has won 74 of 74 resolved bets and is up $13.8k lifetime.
They have traded across 53 events with a perfect resolved record, making the wallet itself the main signal.
They bought No at 82¢, implying confidence Japan fails to win in regulation.

$6,150 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Perfect-record sports bettor

Surface: this is a proven sharp wallet with a 74/74 resolved record and serial cross-market history buying Japan No at 82¢.

This bettor has won 74 of 74 resolved trades and is up $13.8k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 52 events with a perfect resolved record.
A $4.1k buy at 82¢ shows confidence despite this being a very liquid market.

$4,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

94% winner buys No

Sharp sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L made a large $28.7k BUY No position despite a liquid market.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $20.3k lifetime.
They put $28.7k on No at 82¢, a sizable conviction bet from a repeatedly flagged wallet.
Market activity is heating up with a 16.6x volume spike before the game.

$28,683 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

New whale backing underdog

A 15-day-old repeat whale with early positive P&L bought $185k of Japan Yes into a 200x pre-event volume spike.

A 15-day-old wallet just bought $185k of Japan Yes and has $624k in recent flagged bets.
This wallet is already up $5.9k despite being new, suggesting early traction rather than a one-off punt.
The market saw a 200x volume spike, and entry around 19¢ implies a high-upside underdog bet.

$185,345 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 40%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 13947647, $2,716,748
0xa235...34bb — Outcome 62752037, $985,153 (40% win rate)
0xf031...c80c — Outcome 62752037, $549,985 (91% win rate)
0x78c6...4710 — Outcome 62752037, $443,922 (79% win rate)
0x2c55...dbb9 — Outcome 62752037, $101,000 (57% win rate)
0x56e2...4b88 — Outcome 62752037, $93,395 (100% win rate)
0x94d7...bef5 — Outcome 62752037, $78,774 (88% win rate)
0x20b8...aa04 — Outcome 62752037, $69,983 (100% win rate)
0xb41a...5b07 — Outcome 62752037, $65,018 (71% win rate)
0x5ad7...ae48 — Outcome 62752037, $60,000 (96% win rate)

A favorite wins World Cup

Covers 4 related markets

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

ResolvedBrazil vs. Japan$498,140 tracked23 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 29, 2026 If Japan wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No”