Part of: NBA Sixth Man of the Year Winner

Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?

This Polymarket tracks whether Keldon Johnson will win the 2025–26 NBA Sixth Man of the Year award. The market resolves based on the official NBA award result, and if Johnson is not announced as a finalist, it settles to No. Resolution is expected by June 30, 2026, making this a long-range market for bettors following NBA awards odds and player role changes.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $37,049.

Categories: NBA, Basketball, Sports

Notable Trades

90% win-rate dip buyer

A very active wallet with a rare 90% win rate across 429 resolved markets just stepped into a sharp price drop with a $4.5k buy, suggesting a disciplined cross-market bettor defending value rather than random flow.

  • This bettor wins 90% of their resolved markets across 429 bets, which is rare at this scale.
  • They bought $4.5k right after a fast 24-point price drop in about 3 minutes, suggesting they saw value in the selloff.
  • The market is still fairly liquid with $33k of 24-hour volume, so this looks more like a sharp entry than a thin-market punt.

$4,495 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

90% win-rate whale

A serial cross-market bettor with a 90% win rate just put $13.5k into a thin NBA award market at 90¢, a size large enough to dominate recent volume and move price.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades across 429 markets and has traded 372 events
  • They put $13.5k into this market at 90¢, more than 3x the market's recent tracked volume
  • The bet hit a thin book and came with a fast 24-point price move, showing strong conviction

$13,485 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

Proven bettor sizes into Yes

A highly active cross-market bettor with a solid 65% win rate and $310k profit made an $8.2k concentrated buy that accounted for most of this market’s daily volume.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 2,230 resolved bets and is up $310k lifetime.
  • They bought $8.2k of Yes at 90¢, equal to about 70% of this market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The market has already climbed 15.8 points this week, so this buy is backing strong momentum rather than a random flyer.

$8,170 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

New whale in thin market

A brand-new wallet just put nearly $10k into a thin player-prop market, taking a position larger than 11x the market’s prior 24h volume.

  • A wallet just 1 hour old bought nearly $10k of Yes in one shot
  • This trade was about 11.3x the market’s prior 24h volume, a strong conviction signal in a thin market
  • They paid 80¢ with only $1.5k of listed liquidity, helping push a market already up about 10 points this week

$9,899 on Yes

Profitable serial event trader

A highly active, profitable cross-market trader just pushed a thin NBA award market sharply higher with a $1,000 buy that dwarfed recent volume.

  • This bettor has 1,149 wins, a 64% hit rate, and is up about $82k overall.
  • Their $1,000 buy was 26x the market's last 24 hours of volume and hit a very thin order book.
  • The trade helped push Yes far above its prior range, showing real conviction in a quiet market.

$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb79f...d749 Outcome 18713643, $2,749
  2. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 18713643, $1,307
  3. 0x78b9...a5fb Outcome 18713643, $1,000
  4. 0x3879...d8c3 Outcome 18713643, $750
  5. 0xb0c2...3ea3 Outcome 18713643, $600
  6. 0x4c03...0cc1 Outcome 18713643, $583 (54% win rate)
  7. 0x62f5...453f Outcome 18713643, $500
  8. 0x8aaf...7beb Outcome 18713643, $500
  9. 0x8da2...ab27 Outcome 18713643, $500
  10. 0xc127...ee33 Outcome 18713643, $500

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?

38dNBA Sixth Man of the Year Winner$37,049 tracked5 signalsNBABasketballSportsHide From New

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Sixth Man of the Year. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Sixth Man of the Year, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?

31d ago

$4,495 on Yes at 90¢

Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?

31d ago

$13,485 on Yes at 90¢

Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?

39d ago

$8,170 on Yes at 90¢

Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?

43d ago

$9,899 on Yes at 80¢

Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?

45d ago

$1,000 on Yes at 80¢

Related Theses