Part of: Belgian Grand Prix: Driver Winner

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,941.

Categories: Formula 1, f1, Sports, Grand Prix, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp serial trader bought before breakout

A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and substantial edge bought Yes at 58%, followed by a sharp move to 95% amid an 82.6x volume spike.

This bettor has won 82% of 180 resolved trades and earned $173,876 in profit while entering at an average winning price of 44%.
The $1,798 Yes purchase at 58% preceded a surge to 95%, alongside an 82.6x historical volume spike.
The trader has positioned across 71 markets and 70 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process rather than a one-off bet.

$1,798 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp bettor adds contrarian No

A highly profitable serial trader with an 87% win rate and 26% measured edge is adding to a contrarian No position despite strong Yes momentum.

This bettor has won 87% of 695 resolved trades and is up $549,108.
They are adding to an existing $7,314 No position at 35¢ while the market currently prices No at 26%.
The wallet has traded across 129 events and 162 markets, indicating a broad, repeatable trading record rather than a one-off bet.

$1,143 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 49140760, $31,012
0x5f56...348a — Outcome 49140760, $3,857 (47% win rate)
0x613a...2185 — Outcome 49140760, $3,766 (67% win rate)
0x3db5...f6dd — Outcome 49140760, $3,189
0x629d...756c — Outcome 49140760, $2,198
0xe8e0...7eec — Outcome 49140760, $2,139 (85% win rate)
0x8a80...11c5 — Outcome 49140760, $2,077 (89% win rate)
0x775d...6beb — Outcome 49140760, $2,022 (76% win rate)
0xbfdf...8e02 — Outcome 49140760, $2,000 (39% win rate)
0x37a1...6691 — Outcome 49140760, $1,677 (88% win rate)

Related Theses

ENCE will beat SINQU decisively

Covers 1 related market

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

ResolvedBelgian Grand Prix: Driver Winner$2,941 tracked2 signalsFormula 1f1SportsGrand PrixGames

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix, scheduled for Jul 19, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jul 26, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.