Part of: Canadian Grand Prix: Driver Winner
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 24, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $31,942.
Categories: Formula 1, f1, Sports, Grand Prix, Games
Notable Trades
3-wallet Yes surge
Three wallets bought $17k of Yes into a 38x volume spike and a sharp price jump, suggesting strong late conviction on the race-winner outcome.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $17.1k as the market surged toward resolution.
- Volume spiked 38x above normal and Yes jumped about 25 percentage points.
- The largest buyer still added $11.2k at 90¢, showing confidence even after the move.
$17,061 on Yes
Live-race momentum buyer
Surface as a live-event momentum trade: a large buyer pushed Kimi Antonelli from the low-50s/60s into a major breakout with heavy 24h volume, though the wallet’s long-term edge is modest.
- This bettor bought Kimi twice at 52¢ and 65¢ before the market jumped to 78¢.
- The move broke far above the prior 32–34¢ range with $132k traded in the last 24 hours.
- The wallet is up $80k lifetime, but its 51% win rate makes this more of a momentum signal than a proven sharp-bettor signal.
$3,525 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 51%
New race-day whale
A brand-new wallet put $11.4k on Yes in a race-day F1 market, contributing to a major volume spike and sharp upward price impact despite no track record.
- A wallet created less than an hour ago put $11.4k on Yes across three buys.
- The market saw a 324x volume spike and Yes moved sharply upward during the trades.
- This is a concentrated, high-conviction bet in a niche F1 market with only $34k liquidity.
$11,357 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0x255a...23c0 — Yes, $27,445
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $24,571
- 0xf68a...5b1b — No, $22,618 (51% win rate)
- 0x4df3...788f — No, $21,340 (70% win rate)
- 0xa2c9...2c23 — Yes, $14,817 (78% win rate)
- 0x198f...c419 — Yes, $13,483 (48% win rate)
- 0x4337...8882 — No, $10,360 (75% win rate)
- 0x64ce...944b — No, $10,000
- 0xdee3...6fe5 — Yes, $8,087 (58% win rate)
- 0x814d...b842 — Yes, $8,025 (44% win rate)
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