Part of: Mexico vs. Korea Republic
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?
18 smart money signals detected, totaling $311,163.
Categories: Games, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Soccer
Notable Trades
94% winner buying dip
Sharp sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and nearly $99k profit bought Korea Republic Yes despite recent downward price pressure.
- This bettor has won 17 of 18 resolved bets and is up $98,779 lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 21¢ while the market has been drifting down, suggesting a contrarian edge.
- Their entry implies about a 4.8x payout if Korea Republic wins.
$1,250 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
92% sports winner buying underdog
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 92% record bought Korea Republic Yes despite the market pricing it near 20%.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $54,856 lifetime.
- They bought Korea Republic at 22¢, implying a potential ~4.5x payout if it wins.
- The market is very liquid, so the signal is the bettor’s strong track record rather than market impact.
$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%
Perfect-record bettor fading Korea
Surface this because a highly proven bettor with a 92-0 resolved record is taking the No side despite the market being very liquid.
- This bettor has won 92 of 92 resolved positions and is up $186K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 82 events and a perfect resolved record.
- Selling Yes at 18¢ is equivalent to buying No at 82¢, showing confidence Korea Republic does not win in regulation.
$4,317 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
98% winner buys No
Elite 98% winner with huge lifetime profit and serial cross-market history placed a $78k BUY No amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 53 of 54 resolved trades and is up $835k lifetime.
- They put $78k on No at 78¢, adding a high-conviction position from a proven sports trader.
- Market volume is surging 189x above normal before the match, supporting the move.
$78,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%
Sharp cluster buying underdog
Strong sharp-wallet override: two profitable high-win-rate bettors joined a 4-wallet cluster buying Korea Republic Yes, though the market has since moved sharply against them.
- Two profitable bettors are on this side, including one who wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $98.8K lifetime.
- Four wallets put $18.2K behind Korea Republic Yes, mostly by selling No between 79¢ and 90¢.
- The trade has moved against them sharply, with Yes now around 6¢ versus their roughly 17¢ average entry.
$18,167 on Yes
88% winner buying NO
Surfacing because a highly proven sports bettor with 88% wins and $3.3M lifetime profit is buying Korea Republic No despite the market being very liquid.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- They have traded across 935 events with the same 88% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- They bought $3.6K of No at 77¢, matching the current market lean against Korea Republic winning.
$3,616 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Repeat new whale
A very new repeat whale with early positive P&L made a $97.7k buy on Korea Republic amid a 42x pre-event volume spike.
- This 5-day-old wallet has already made $620k in flagged bets and is up $5.9k.
- The bettor put $97.7k on Korea Republic at 24¢, showing fresh conviction before the match.
- Market activity is running 42x above its usual pace, adding momentum to the trade.
$97,663 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
91% winner buying Yes
Sharp sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Korea Republic Yes at 24¢.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $167.7K lifetime.
- They have a deep cross-market record: 36 events, 38 markets, and $335K traded.
- Entry at 24¢ implies they see Korea Republic as underpriced versus the current market.
$2,654 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Perfect-record sports bettor
Sharp wallet with a perfect 40-for-40 resolved record and positive lifetime P&L bought Korea Republic No at 77¢.
- This bettor has won 40 of 40 resolved trades and is up $13,774 lifetime.
- They are backing No with $3,465 at 77¢ on a highly liquid soccer market.
- Their past wins came at 69¢ average odds, suggesting a strong track record beyond just favorites.
$3,465 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp cluster buying long-shot Yes
High-scoring one-sided cluster into Korea Republic Yes, led by a profitable serial sports trader and a sharp wallet, despite some No sells looking like position management.
- A profitable serial bettor is driving most of the flow, with $42.7k bought on Yes and $405k lifetime profit.
- Four wallets pushed $53.9k in the same direction, including one bettor who wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $432k.
- Yes is now 6%, below several sharp entries, so the market is pricing Korea Republic as a long-shot comeback.
$53,902 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 82329952, $1,398,829
- 0xfc0d...a98c — Outcome 40559900, $1,001,025
- 0xa235...34bb — Outcome 40559900, $808,037 (67% win rate)
- 0xf28e...cab2 — Outcome 40559900, $563,499 (89% win rate)
- 0xc660...bd28 — Outcome 40559900, $91,600 (72% win rate)
- 0xfaa2...e80a — Outcome 40559900, $64,332 (78% win rate)
- 0xdc40...89cf — Outcome 40559900, $59,800 (62% win rate)
- 0x60cc...ff9b — Outcome 40559900, $52,150 (30% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 40559900, $46,842
- 0xf3c7...c83b — Outcome 40559900, $46,003 (87% win rate)
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