Part of: What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?

This prediction market asks whether Lighter (LIT/USDC) will reach a high price of $4 on any 1-minute candle before the end of 2026. It resolves Yes if Lighter’s official LIT/USDC chart records a 1-minute candle high at or above $4 between Dec. 30, 2025 and Dec. 31, 2026 ET; otherwise it resolves No. PolySpotter is tracking $1,386 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) between December 30, 2025, 14:25 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Lighter LIT/USDC price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,386.

Categories: Lighter, Crypto Prices, Crypto, Hit Price, Yearly

Notable Trades

77% crypto cross-market bettor

A proven 77% winner with extensive cross-market history is effectively buying Yes on a thin Lighter price-target market, with the trade nearly matching the full 24h volume.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and has deployed over $331K across prior markets.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with 26 events and $404K in tracked activity, suggesting a repeatable thesis-driven style.
  • This trade was nearly a full day’s volume, effectively buying Yes at 15¢ in a quiet market.

$1,386 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

Top Holders

  1. 0x559c...b1d0 — Yes, $11,625
  2. 0x1f85...a51b — No, $9,331 (69% win rate)
  3. 0x7205...3377 — Yes, $7,802
  4. 0x0ff8...13ee — No, $6,582
  5. 0xe551...0a67 — No, $5,306 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x567e...e2d2 — No, $2,225
  7. 0x841f...806b — Yes, $2,054
  8. 0x505e...affc — No, $1,936
  9. 0x41ce...6509 — Yes, $1,742
  10. 0x25dc...e33b — No, $1,542 (54% win rate)

Related Theses

Lighter hits four dollars

Covers 2 related markets

Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?

234dWhat price will Lighter hit in 2026?$1,386 tracked1 signalLighterCrypto PricesCryptoHit PriceYearly
Yes
14¢
No
86¢

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) between December 30, 2025, 14:25 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Lighter LIT/USDC price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.

Price History — “No”
88¢
86¢
84¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?

3h ago

$1,386 on Yes at 15¢

15¢→14¢↓1¢

Related Theses

Lighter hits four dollars
Wallet_0xf65b6 trades 2 related markets
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2…Yes