Part of: World Cup: Player to score
Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This prediction market asks whether Lionel Messi will score at least one goal in any match at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Goals in regular time, stoppage time, and extra time count, including penalty kicks during play, but own goals and penalty shootout goals do not. The market is scheduled to resolve on July 20, 2026, with $1,323 in smart money tracked and 1 smart money signal identified.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed player scores a goal during any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. A goal scored during regular time, stoppage time, and extra time will be considered. No goal scored by way of own goal or penalty shootout will be considered. A goal scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, and extra time will count toward a “Yes” resolution. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined if the listed player scored a goal during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,323.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Goals, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Sports, scoring
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor bought Yes in a very quiet market, with the trade nearly 40x the market's 24h volume.
- This bettor has made over 1,500 resolved trades and is up $112k lifetime.
- They have traded across 843 markets, suggesting a broad sports/event edge rather than a one-off bet.
- This $1.3k buy was almost 40x the market’s 24h volume, a meaningful move in a quiet order book.
$1,323 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0x09df...5ca9 — No, $2,009 (60% win rate)
- 0x606d...1aaf — Yes, $1,556 (67% win rate)
- 0xdd15...4a07 — No, $1,048 (70% win rate)
- 0xee03...6edb — Yes, $400
- 0x805a...0635 — No, $369 (50% win rate)
- 0x38e5...95e7 — No, $275 (79% win rate)
- 0xefde...783d — No, $229 (51% win rate)
- 0x9cdd...3e97 — Yes, $210 (90% win rate)
- 0xa0bc...d428 — Yes, $200
- 0x555c...ee28 — Yes, $200
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