Part of: Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,888.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UCL
Notable Trades
Serial event trader buying No
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with nearly 2,900 resolved trades made a fresh $2.4k buy on No into a major pre-match volume surge, suggesting a repeatable event-trading edge despite only modest historical profitability.
- This bettor has 2,901 resolved trades and a positive $52.9k lifetime profit.
- They trade heavily across related event markets: 246 markets across 200 events and $31.8k in this match event.
- The market saw a 167x volume spike, and they bought No at 69¢ before odds moved down to 66¢.
$2,438 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%
Profitable serial event trader
A highly active and profitable cross-market bettor with 3,538 resolved bets and $532k profit is buying draw at 25¢ as part of a broader same-event thesis.
- This bettor has won 66% of 3,538 resolved trades and is up about $532k lifetime
- They repeatedly trade across related markets and have done it in 46 events, which suggests a structured event-level edge
- Bought draw at 25¢ while the market now sits around 26-27¢, signaling a fresh directional bet rather than routine profit-taking
$1,014 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%
3-wallet live draw cluster
Three wallets piled into Draw within minutes of kickoff/resolution in a highly active live market, creating coordinated one-sided flow at 21-23¢ despite mixed but at least partly profitable track records.
- Three wallets bought the draw side together for $13.6k at 21-23¢, a coordinated bet against a 78% No price.
- The market saw a 250x volume spike, so this cluster joined a broader rush of money right before resolution.
- One wallet is up $27.6k and another is up $93.0k lifetime, adding some evidence this was not random flow.
$13,594 on Yes
Serial sports bettor late entry
A high-volume serial sports trader with nearly 2,900 resolved bets bought No five minutes before kickoff/resolution amid a massive market volume spike, suggesting a deliberate late entry rather than routine flow.
- This bettor has nearly 2,900 resolved bets and is up about $52k overall.
- They bought $24.8k of No at 79¢ just 4.8 minutes before resolution in a market seeing a 313x volume spike.
- The bet size is meaningful even in a liquid market and backs the heavily favored side at 80%, suggesting disciplined event-driven timing rather than a random punt.
$24,843 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 23903930, $324,685
- 0xbddf...c684 — Outcome 42410178, $26,820 (92% win rate)
- 0xbff2...da71 — Outcome 42410178, $18,473 (50% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 42410178, $15,257 (63% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 42410178, $9,561 (63% win rate)
- 0x525e...0b73 — Outcome 42410178, $5,602
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Outcome 42410178, $4,598 (55% win rate)
- 0xc51a...a0d9 — Outcome 42410178, $4,328 (53% win rate)
- 0xa8ba...bbb6 — Outcome 42410178, $4,247 (100% win rate)
- 0x7edb...7993 — Outcome 42410178, $3,045
Related Theses
Spurs win by five
Covers 3 related markets
Thunder win low-scoring blowout
Covers 5 related markets
