Part of: Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?
22 smart money signals detected, totaling $307,224.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly experienced, profitable cross-market sports trader sold No into a sharp Liverpool move, effectively buying Yes at 11¢ after a large 1-day price drop.
- This bettor is up $180,709 across more than 1,400 resolved bets, with $3.4M previously invested.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 31 events and 55 markets with $205K in recent flagged flow.
- Selling No at 89¢ is equivalent to buying Liverpool Yes at 11¢ after Yes fell about 30 points in a day.
$8,812 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
93% winner leads No cluster
A highly profitable 93% win-rate wallet is leading a $13.7k No position, supported by same-direction flow from three wallets despite a liquid market.
- The lead bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $623,901 lifetime.
- Three wallets put $13,705 on No, with most of the size coming in around 66¢.
- This wallet is a seasoned cross-market sports trader, active across 64 events with a 93% hit rate.
$13,705 on No
Proven sharp buying dip
Surfaced because a proven profitable sports bettor with a 77% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought Liverpool Yes despite recent price weakness.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $113K lifetime.
- They have traded across 96 events with the same 77% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Entry at 35¢ comes after Liverpool fell 18 points this week, so this looks like a sharp buying the dip.
$3,915 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Proven sharp buying dip
Sharp profitable wallet with a 76% record and strong edge is buying Liverpool Yes two days before the match despite recent price weakness.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $152,808 lifetime.
- They have a strong history across sports-style markets, with 85 resolved positions and an average entry around 46¢.
- Buying Yes at 39¢ after a 14.5-point weekly drop suggests they see value before match resolution.
$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable new sports whale
A 15-day-old wallet with repeat large-bet alerts and early profitability is buying Liverpool despite negative price momentum, suggesting informed conviction.
- This 15-day-old bettor is already up $6.2K on $14.1K invested.
- They have been flagged 4 times for large bets, totaling $15.7K across early positions.
- Buying Yes at 39¢ goes against a 14.5-point weekly drop, suggesting a contrarian view.
$2,424 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable new whale
A 5-day-old profitable wallet with repeated large flags added $35.3k to Liverpool Yes during a huge pre-event volume spike.
- This 5-day-old wallet is already up $26.1k and has now been flagged 8 times for large bets.
- They bought $35.3k of Liverpool Yes at an average entry near 38¢.
- Market volume spiked nearly 947x versus its historical average, suggesting broader attention around the same move.
$35,274 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
Proven sports sharp buying NO
Sharp sports bettor with a strong 432-bet record is buying Liverpool No amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $136,745 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 40 events with the same 78% hit rate.
- Market volume is surging before the match, with 946x normal activity and the bettor entering at 62¢.
$1,240 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
91% winner buying dip
A highly profitable bettor with a 10/11 record bought $89.5k of Liverpool Yes amid an enormous pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved bets and is up about $4.0M lifetime.
- They bought $89.5k of Yes at 39¢ despite Liverpool drifting 13.5 points over the week.
- Market volume is surging nearly 947x above its historical average, suggesting broader positioning before the match.
$89,541 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable new whale
A 5-day-old wallet with early profits and repeated large flagged bets bought $15.8k of Liverpool Yes during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This 5-day-old bettor is already up $26.1k and has made 7 large flagged bets totaling about $60k.
- They bought $15.8k of Liverpool Yes at 37¢, showing fresh conviction despite the market drifting down 13.5% this week.
- The market saw a 539x volume spike, suggesting this bet came during a broader surge of attention.
$15,774 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable serial sports trader
Serial profitable sports trader is buying Liverpool No into a major pre-event volume spike and week-long move against Liverpool.
- This bettor has traded 76 markets across 67 events and is up $78K lifetime.
- They bought Liverpool No at 63¢ as market volume spiked more than 500x above its usual pace.
- The market has moved against Liverpool over the past week, with Yes down 13.5 percentage points.
$2,569 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%
Top Holders
- 0x0eb5...c494 — Outcome 24927956, $3,602,903 (92% win rate)
- 0xbd14...d62a — Outcome 24927956, $25,000 (97% win rate)
- 0xeb73...53b0 — Outcome 24927956, $17,892 (80% win rate)
- 0x48fe...b2b6 — Outcome 24927956, $15,000 (61% win rate)
- 0xea2b...1fc6 — Outcome 24927956, $14,380 (66% win rate)
- 0x89c5...57e9 — Outcome 24927956, $14,069 (100% win rate)
- 0xbe7e...6d00 — Outcome 24927956, $11,667 (68% win rate)
- 0xb5a4...5780 — Outcome 24927956, $11,242 (80% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 90094536, $9,810
- 0xb295...4ee4 — Outcome 24927956, $9,338 (80% win rate)
Related Theses
Aston Villa beats Liverpool
Covers 3 related markets
