Part of: San Diego FC vs. Los Angeles FC

Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-02?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $36,580.

Notable Trades

Sharp-led 5-wallet NO push

A 5-wallet cluster bought $21K of No and drove a 21-point move, with one highly profitable wallet leading meaningful size.

Five wallets bought $21K of No, pushing the price from about 62¢ to 88¢.
One buyer has won 85% of resolved bets and is up $1.6M lifetime.
Most of the cluster entered at 62¢, so the best copy window may have already passed.

$21,130 on No

Proven sports sharp leaning NO

High-conviction LAFC No lean from a highly proven sports bettor with 85% wins, $1.62M profit, and heavy serial cross-market history, though one small opposing Yes buy suggests partial hedging.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.62M lifetime.
They put $8.4k on No while only hedging $1.9k on Yes, making No the clear lean.
This wallet has traded 589 markets across 484 events with an 85% hit rate.

$10,298 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

84% win-rate serial bettor

A proven 84% winning cross-market bettor with $873k profit is buying LAFC Yes at 38%, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market being fairly liquid.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $873k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.14M deployed across 83 events.
Entry at 38¢ implies a roughly 2.6x payout if Los Angeles FC wins.

$5,152 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

0xf5f9...87b0 — Outcome 82028767, $22,059 (90% win rate)
0xc49f...9e05 — Outcome 82028767, $6,000 (96% win rate)
0xdd16...5cf0 — Outcome 82028767, $3,177 (59% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 34575094, $2,190
0x2f26...0d8f — Outcome 82028767, $1,206
0x26a6...dede — Outcome 82028767, $1,168 (50% win rate)
0xea2f...dff2 — Outcome 82028767, $1,057
0x8d93...b34d — Outcome 82028767, $769 (93% win rate)
0xb026...9c7b — Outcome 82028767, $529
0x8a2a...420a — Outcome 82028767, $393

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Timberwolves upset Spurs high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-02?

ResolvedSan Diego FC vs. Los Angeles FC$36,580 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerMLS

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2, 2026 If Los Angeles FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.