Part of: Luxembourg vs. Italy

Will Luxembourg vs. Italy end in a draw?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,563.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly

Notable Trades

Sharp serial sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 77% win rate and +$249k lifetime profit bought No on the draw at 90¢.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $249k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 69 events and 82 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Buying No at 90¢ shows confidence that Luxembourg vs. Italy does not end in a draw.

$1,048 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%

Linked profitable soccer cluster

Three wallets, including two linked and several highly profitable high-volume bettors, coordinated buys on No in a relatively quiet soccer draw market.

  • Three wallets all bought No, with two wallets sharing a funder.
  • The lead bettor has 17,128 resolved bets, wins 63%, and is up $3.7M lifetime.
  • Their $3.5k buy was large versus the market’s $5.1k 24h volume.

$3,515 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 92972047, $9,503
  2. 0x52d9...fb1a Outcome 75790927, $3,314 (70% win rate)
  3. 0x2f0b...5577 Outcome 75790927, $2,303 (92% win rate)
  4. 0x0d96...7c16 Outcome 75790927, $2,000 (95% win rate)
  5. 0x2a69...d2f7 Outcome 75790927, $1,915
  6. 0x397e...3d84 Outcome 92972047, $1,170 (77% win rate)
  7. 0x8230...5121 Outcome 75790927, $643 (75% win rate)
  8. 0xdabd...6ada Outcome 75790927, $577 (70% win rate)
  9. 0xa664...f849 Outcome 75790927, $500 (94% win rate)
  10. 0x2e5a...0122 Outcome 75790927, $489 (61% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will Luxembourg vs. Italy end in a draw?

ResolvedLuxembourg vs. Italy$4,563 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFifa Friendly

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 3, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will Luxembourg vs. Italy end in a draw?

9d ago

$1,048 on No at 90¢

Will Luxembourg vs. Italy end in a draw?

9d ago

$3,515 on No at 80¢

Related Theses