Part of: Manchester City vs. Atletico Madrid
Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-09?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,286.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Club Friendlies
Notable Trades
Profitable bettor buys City amid volume surge
A highly profitable serial trader made a concentrated $17,756 Manchester City bet amid an extreme 995x pre-event volume spike, supporting fresh conviction despite the already-high price.
- This bettor is up $35.3M lifetime across 36,448 resolved trades and has a 63% win rate despite frequently buying lower-priced outcomes.
- The $17,756 Yes bet was placed at 80¢ as market volume surged to nearly 995 times its historical average.
- Manchester City Yes has since risen to 85%, corroborating the trade's immediate direction, though the long-dated event leaves substantial time risk.
$17,756 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable bettor joins sharp Yes surge
A major volume surge and sharp price move accompanied sizeable Yes buying, including a profitable 77% winner, though opposing No flow and existing positions reduce conviction.
- A bettor who wins 77% of trades bought $1,100 of Yes at 51¢, alongside two other sizable Yes purchases.
- Yes surged roughly 26 percentage points amid a 92x historical volume spike, signaling unusually strong market activity.
- The signal is mixed because another three-wallet cluster bought No and some Yes buyers already held positions.
$4,331 on Yes
Coordinated No flow in soccer market
Three-wallet No buying and a 92x volume surge make this a notable coordinated sports-market thesis, though the trader’s edge is not clearly proven and No has since fallen sharply.
- Three wallets bought No for a combined $7,341 during a 92x historical volume spike.
- The wallet is a substantial long-term winner, up $219,094 across 513 resolved trades, but its 65% win rate does not clearly beat its 75¢ average winning price.
- No was bought at 54¢ and is now around 24¢, so the original thesis has not been confirmed and the trade carries substantial caution.
$1,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 69%
Top Holders
- 0xdb85...152f — Outcome 52163002, $13,327 (88% win rate)
- 0x2e78...067e — Outcome 52163002, $2,128 (69% win rate)
- 0x3c66...76cd — Outcome 52163002, $1,269
- 0x1d60...453d — Outcome 52163002, $1,022 (76% win rate)
- 0x6ca3...590f — Outcome 52163002, $453 (71% win rate)
- 0x4993...553f — Outcome 52163002, $277
- 0x013f...ca85 — Outcome 52163002, $213
- 0x1cdd...e595 — Outcome 52163002, $206
- 0x4dc4...306f — Outcome 52163002, $200
- 0x5210...bd53 — Outcome 52163002, $180
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