Part of: Manchester City vs. Atletico Madrid

Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-09?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,286.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Club Friendlies

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor buys City amid volume surge

A highly profitable serial trader made a concentrated $17,756 Manchester City bet amid an extreme 995x pre-event volume spike, supporting fresh conviction despite the already-high price.

  • This bettor is up $35.3M lifetime across 36,448 resolved trades and has a 63% win rate despite frequently buying lower-priced outcomes.
  • The $17,756 Yes bet was placed at 80¢ as market volume surged to nearly 995 times its historical average.
  • Manchester City Yes has since risen to 85%, corroborating the trade's immediate direction, though the long-dated event leaves substantial time risk.

$17,756 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%

Profitable bettor joins sharp Yes surge

A major volume surge and sharp price move accompanied sizeable Yes buying, including a profitable 77% winner, though opposing No flow and existing positions reduce conviction.

  • A bettor who wins 77% of trades bought $1,100 of Yes at 51¢, alongside two other sizable Yes purchases.
  • Yes surged roughly 26 percentage points amid a 92x historical volume spike, signaling unusually strong market activity.
  • The signal is mixed because another three-wallet cluster bought No and some Yes buyers already held positions.

$4,331 on Yes

Coordinated No flow in soccer market

Three-wallet No buying and a 92x volume surge make this a notable coordinated sports-market thesis, though the trader’s edge is not clearly proven and No has since fallen sharply.

  • Three wallets bought No for a combined $7,341 during a 92x historical volume spike.
  • The wallet is a substantial long-term winner, up $219,094 across 513 resolved trades, but its 65% win rate does not clearly beat its 75¢ average winning price.
  • No was bought at 54¢ and is now around 24¢, so the original thesis has not been confirmed and the trade carries substantial caution.

$1,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 52163002, $13,327 (88% win rate)
  2. 0x2e78...067e Outcome 52163002, $2,128 (69% win rate)
  3. 0x3c66...76cd Outcome 52163002, $1,269
  4. 0x1d60...453d Outcome 52163002, $1,022 (76% win rate)
  5. 0x6ca3...590f Outcome 52163002, $453 (71% win rate)
  6. 0x4993...553f Outcome 52163002, $277
  7. 0x013f...ca85 Outcome 52163002, $213
  8. 0x1cdd...e595 Outcome 52163002, $206
  9. 0x4dc4...306f Outcome 52163002, $200
  10. 0x5210...bd53 Outcome 52163002, $180

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Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-09?

ResolvedManchester City vs. Atletico Madrid$23,286 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerClub Friendlies

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 9, 2026 If Manchester City wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market will settle based on the final score of the match, regardless of format (e.g. two halves totaling 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or four periods totaling 120 minutes). The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-09?

33d ago

$17,756 on Yes at 80¢

Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-09?

33d ago

$4,331 on Yes at 77¢

Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-09?

33d ago

$1,200 on No at 54¢

Related Theses