Part of: Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,411,499.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor joins 30-wallet No cluster
A proven high-edge bettor re-entered No alongside 30 coordinated wallets, with the market moving sharply in the same direction.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades, buying at an average 46% price while achieving a strong edge.
- Thirty wallets bought No for $532,154 total, with linked funding reinforcing the one-sided conviction.
- The No price rose 30 percentage points after the trade, indicating substantial market impact.
$6,559 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
30-wallet coordinated No flow
A proven profitable serial trader sold Yes while 30 linked wallets bought No with over $532,000 in coordinated flow, although the individual trade appears to close an existing position.
- Thirty wallets linked to two funders bought No, committing $532,154 in one-sided coordinated flow.
- This bettor has won 78% of 1,068 resolved trades and earned $227,971, with activity spanning 41 events.
- The individual sale appears to close an earlier Yes position, so the coordinated No cluster is the stronger signal.
$1,286 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Five-wallet No cluster with a sharp bettor
Five wallets deployed $71,162 toward No, including a proven 78% bettor, although the market has since moved sharply against the cluster.
- Five wallets committed $71,162 to No, roughly matching the market’s quoted liquidity.
- One bettor wins 78% of 1,067 resolved trades and has earned $227,971, with meaningful performance above average entry odds.
- The market has since moved from roughly 55¢ No to 26¢, so the cluster is currently underwater despite its strong initial conviction.
$71,162 on No
Profitable whale scaling into No
A previously profitable bettor is adding $110,000 to an existing No position amid a 59x volume spike and coordinated three-wallet selling of Manchester United's chances.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is adding $110,000 to an existing No position.
- Three wallets have placed $157,339 in coordinated No bets, signaling concentrated downside conviction.
- The trade coincides with a 59x historical volume spike while No remains near 50¢.
$111,610 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
49-wallet sharp-money Yes cluster
A 49-wallet, $3.19 million coordinated Yes position included several highly profitable bettors and drove a major price move, making it a notable informed-flow event despite opposing No activity.
- Forty-nine wallets committed $3.19 million to Yes, including linked wallets and several bettors with 77%–99% historical win rates.
- The coordinated buying moved Yes by 42 percentage points, signaling unusually strong conviction in a high-volume market.
- A defensible historical copy entry was Yes at 51¢, implying roughly a 2x payout if Manchester United won.
$3,189,907 on Yes
91% winner adds to Manchester United
A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate is adding $22.6K to an existing Manchester United Yes position at 49%.
- This bettor has won 91% of 209 resolved trades and earned $1.48 million in profit.
- They added $22,597 to an existing Yes position, bringing total investment to roughly $69,000.
- The 49¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite the market being close to evenly priced.
$7,261 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
95% winner scaling into Yes
A highly successful serial cross-market bettor is adding to an existing Manchester United Yes position at 49 cents.
- This bettor has won 95% of 59 resolved trades and is up $49,238.
- They have traded across 32 events and are adding $1,118 to an existing Yes position at 49 cents.
- The entry price implies roughly a 2x payout if Manchester United wins.
$1,118 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
91% winner adds to Manchester United
A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate is adding $22.6K to an existing Manchester United Yes position at 49%.
- This bettor has won 91% of 209 resolved trades and earned $1.48 million in profit.
- They added $22,597 to an existing Yes position, bringing total investment to roughly $69,000.
- The 49¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite the market being close to evenly priced.
$22,597 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x983e...6748 — Outcome 83179568, $5,796,815 (100% win rate)
- 0xdb85...152f — Outcome 83179568, $263,964 (88% win rate)
- 0xeb73...53b0 — Outcome 83179568, $162,711 (52% win rate)
- 0x85f0...3f67 — Outcome 83179568, $120,651 (99% win rate)
- 0xa084...bb99 — Outcome 83179568, $61,206 (92% win rate)
- 0x79ae...9a4a — Outcome 83179568, $50,200 (94% win rate)
- 0x61bc...2289 — Outcome 83179568, $40,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x4229...2e67 — Outcome 83179568, $22,424 (100% win rate)
- 0xc289...ab37 — Outcome 83179568, $20,000 (95% win rate)
- 0xef1b...8697 — Outcome 83179568, $20,000 (49% win rate)
Related Theses
Low-scoring Valkyries keep it close
Covers 3 related markets
Molde Brann goal fest
Covers 1 related market
Dallas Wings will beat Liberty
Covers 1 related market
Argentina will not win
Covers 1 related market
Rangers-Angels game stays low-scoring
Covers 1 related market
Maccabi Tel Aviv wins by two+
Covers 1 related market
France-England will be low-scoring
Covers 2 related markets
Cubs will beat Cardinals
Covers 1 related market
Pirates-Reds game exceeds 9.5 runs
Covers 1 related market
Benfica will not win
Covers 1 related market
