What does this Mexico Round of 32 prediction market cover?

This market asks whether Mexico will be eliminated specifically in the Round of 32 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If Mexico exits in another round or wins the tournament, this outcome would not resolve as the Round of 32 result.

When will this Polymarket market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve by July 19, 2026, after the 2026 FIFA World Cup concludes and Mexico’s official stage of elimination is known.

How is Mexico’s elimination stage determined?

Resolution is based on the furthest completed round Mexico reaches, using the best available official information. If Mexico wins the tournament, the broader stage-of-elimination market resolves to Champion.

What happens if Mexico withdraws or is disqualified?

If Mexico is disqualified, withdraws, or is removed from the tournament, the market resolves according to the furthest completed round Mexico reached based on official information.

How much smart money is being tracked on this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $1,302 in smart money activity on this Mexico Round of 32 market, with 1 recent smart money signal identified.

Part of: World Cup: Mexico Stage of Elimination

Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

This Polymarket prediction market tracks whether Mexico will be eliminated in the Round of 32 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. It resolves based on Mexico’s official stage of elimination, with final resolution expected by July 19, 2026; PolySpotter currently tracks $1,302 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,302.

Categories: 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Stage of Elimination

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader

A highly active profitable cross-market trader bought No at 87¢ on a thin Mexico elimination market and the price has already moved to 94¢.

This bettor has a long track record: 3,919 resolved trades and about $465K in lifetime profit.
They bought $1.3K of No in a relatively thin market, equal to about 63% of recent 24h volume.
The trade has already moved from 87¢ to 94¢, suggesting the market is following their direction.

$1,302 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 62545730, $17,828
0x5a21...9318 — Outcome 81548649, $10,406 (49% win rate)
0x43cb...84df — Outcome 81548649, $4,550
0xdd58...18f9 — Outcome 81548649, $3,269 (47% win rate)
0x30ee...a587 — Outcome 81548649, $2,337 (63% win rate)
0x373a...f4c1 — Outcome 81548649, $1,670 (61% win rate)
0x0121...f722 — Outcome 81548649, $1,261 (48% win rate)
0x054d...27bf — Outcome 81548649, $573
0x3e0a...b9cc — Outcome 81548649, $500 (67% win rate)
0x7aed...df39 — Outcome 81548649, $445

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Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

17dWorld Cup: Mexico Stage of Elimination$1,302 tracked1 signal2026 FIFA World CupSoccerFIFA World CupSportsStage of Elimination

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Mexico is eliminated. If Mexico wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Mexico is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Mexico based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No”

102¢

81¢

60¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction